Wednesday, October 5, 2011

ISM Non Manufacturing Solid at 53.0 vs Expectations of 52.8

TweetThis
ISM Non Manufacturing came in at 53.0 which was slightly above expectations of 52.8.  I am however stroking my proverbial beard, as we are not getting the type of pop we saw Monday on the 'better than expected' figure in the ISM Manufacturing data.  The U.S. economy is much more service oriented so this data point actually means more.  But maybe we used up a lot of our wad in the last 40 minutes yesterday. EDIT 10:07 AM ok now we are reacting, and just tacked on 6-7 S&P points.

Still holding that 1120 level which every human and silicon eye has its gaze at. 

Full report here.   Overall the underlying metrics for new orders and prices are good, but employment fell flat on its face).

---------------------

 "The NMI registered 53 percent in September, 0.3 percentage point lower than the 53.3 percent registered in August, and indicating continued growth at a slightly slower rate in the non-manufacturing sector. The Non-Manufacturing Business Activity Index increased 1.5 percentage points to 57.1 percent, reflecting growth for the 26th consecutive month. The New Orders Index increased by 3.7 percentage points to 56.5 percent. The Employment Index decreased 2.9 percentage points to 48.7 percent, indicating contraction in employment after 12 consecutive months of growth. The Prices Index decreased 2.3 percentage points to 61.9 percent, indicating prices increased at a slower rate in September when compared to August. According to the NMI, nine non-manufacturing industries reported growth in September. Respondents' comments reflect an uncertainty about future business conditions and the direction of the economy."

WHAT RESPONDENTS ARE SAYING ...
  • "Weak consumer confidence and high gas prices are placing downward pressure on retail sales volume." (Information)
  • "Business volume outlook and confidence across many market areas in North America appear to be softening." (Mining)
  • "It appears everyone is waiting to see what happens next. No trust in the economy or the federal government to do what is needed." (Accommodation & Food Services)
  • "The 2012 outlook is not optimistic; though we keep hoping for a rebound, we see little sign of an improved economy — nothing at least that will spur growth, investment or expansion. Improved investment performance in early 2011 caused us to begin several large capital projects, and although we have broken ground, we cannot help but question if our timing was right." (Educational Services)
  • "Third and fourth quarters appear to be slowing down in order volumes. Uncertainty over U.S. and European economy is causing clients to hold off on new orders." (Professional, Scientific & Technical Services)
  • "Negative forecast for housing market's future leads us to think we will be at current levels of business at best for the foreseeable future." (Wholesale Trade)
ISM NON-MANUFACTURING SURVEY RESULTS AT A GLANCE
COMPARISON OF ISM NON-MANUFACTURING AND ISM MANUFACTURING SURVEYS*
SEPTEMBER 2011
Non-Manufacturing Manufacturing
Index Series
Index
Sep
Series
Index
Aug
Percent
Point
Change
Direction Rate
of
Change
Trend**
(Months)
Series
Index
Sep
Series
Index
Aug
Percent
Point
Change
NMI/PMI 53.0 53.3 -0.3 Growing Slower 22 51.6 50.6 +1.0
Business Activity/Production 57.1 55.6 +1.5 Growing Faster 26 51.2 48.6 +2.6
New Orders 56.5 52.8 +3.7 Growing Faster 26 49.6 49.6 0.0
Employment 48.7 51.6 -2.9 Contracting From Growing 1 53.8 51.8 +2.0
Supplier Deliveries 49.5 53.0 -3.5 Faster From Slowing 1 51.4 50.6 +0.8
Inventories 51.5 53.5 -2.0 Growing Slower 8 52.0 52.3 -0.3
Prices 61.9 64.2 -2.3 Increasing Slower 26 56.0 55.5 +0.5
Backlog of Orders 52.5 47.5 +5.0 Growing From Contracting 1 41.5 46.0 -4.5
New Export Orders 52.0 56.5 -4.5 Growing Slower 2 53.5 50.5 +3.0
Imports 47.5 53.5 -6.0 Contracting From Growing 1 54.5 55.5 -1.0
Inventory Sentiment 59.0 56.0 +3.0 Too High Faster 172 N/A N/A N/A
Customers' Inventories N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A 49.0 46.5 +2.5
*

Disclaimer: The opinions listed on this blog are for educational purpose only. You should do your own research before making any decisions.
This blog, its affiliates, partners or authors are not responsible or liable for any misstatements and/or losses you might sustain from the content provided.

Copyright @2012 FundMyMutualFund.com