Tuesday, September 29, 2009

Wyndham Worldwide (WYN) and Sector Upgraded by Goldman Sachs

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It seems Goldman Sachs is running around upgrading just about every sector and every stock nowadays... today's candidates are the lodging stocks; the biggest % beneficiary thus far is our holding Wyndham Worldwide (WYN). This has been a star performer for us; just bounced off support yesterday and rocketed back up... a move over $16.50 should bring in the computers (and momentum based human traders). With something like this, simply placing a stop a few % below the 50 day moving average and adjusting it weekly is the sensible game plan.

Still very cheap at 10x this year's earnings, considering many other companies of similar ilk are trading for 2-3x that.
  • A Goldman Sachs analyst boosted the price targets of some lodging companies Tuesday, citing slowing supply growth and an uptick in demand. Many lodging operators saw declining demand during the recession as consumers looked to trim costs and held back on booking trips or took shorter vacations. Supply growth also began to wane during the economic downturn, as hotels looked for ways to reduce expenses and avoid oversupply.
  • Signs of an economic recovery on the horizon bodes well for the industry, according to analyst Steven Kent. "As we go further out in time we expect increased economic activity to ultimately result in more travel, which will boost occupancy and rate thereafter," he wrote in a client note.
  • Kent increased Marriott International Inc.'s price target to $33 from $27.79 and lifted Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide Inc. to $43 from $35. He raised the price target of Choice Hotels International Inc. to $36 from $32. Among the other price target increases included those for Gaylord Entertainment Co., Orient-Express Hotels Ltd., Interval Leisure Group Inc., Host Hotels & Resorts Inc. and Wyndham Worldwide Corp.
[Jul 29, 2009: Wyndham Worldwide Solid: RevPAR Far Above Industry]
[May 1, 2009: Bookkeeping - Creating New Position in Wyndham Worldwide]
[May 1, 2009: A Stroll Through the Hotel Space]

EDIT 1:30 PM - looks like I made an error today, when trying to punch in a stop loss order instead I put in a limit order to sell, and hence have dropped out of a good 75% of the position. So we'll rebuy what we sold today north of $16 on a breakout over $16.50 or on a pullback. *smack self in head*

Long Wyndham Worldwide in fund; no personal position

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