Tuesday, February 17, 2009

USA Today: CEO's Not Buying Stock in Their Own Companies

TweetThis
You'd think with all the bargains galore CEOs would be snapping up stock left and right since the valuations are so "cheap". Instead we get (cue crickets chirping) Even now at these "bargain" levels the insiders are unloading at a rate of 4:1 (selling:buying). Once more it really makes you wonder what this stock market is all about sometimes - outside of a great transfer of wealth from the many to the few. [Feb 11: Sirius Heading for Bankruptcy; Don't Cry for Howard Stean - Just More Transfers of Wealth] The same insiders who use "company" stock offerings to unload their shares onto the people (rather than raise money for the company) but cannot find a few bucks under their Louis Vuitton couches to make a show of faith with purchases even at these levels? Instead most are still selling... nice.
  • It's not just regular investors who lack the guts to step up and buy stocks. Companies' CEOs do, too. Other than a few high-profile exceptions, including the heads of JPMorgan Chase and Bank of America, officers of U.S. companies aren't exactly lining up to buy their companies' shares. The dearth of so-called insider buying, despite a nearly 40% fall in stock values in the past year, is a potentially troubling development. CEOs arguably know more about their companies' future than anyone. (nah, stock market pundits know best... just ask them)
  • Because CEOs typically buy when their stock has fallen and is about to recover, the fact they're not heavily buying now is "a little disturbing," says Darren Roulstone, a professor of accounting at Ohio State University.
  • The buying of stock by company officers and directors remains modest relative to selling, according to Thomson Reuters. Over the past 90 days, insiders at U.S. companies have bought just $670.2 million in stock, while they sold $2.8 billion.
A few of the reasons CEOs and other officers may not be stepping up and buying include:
  1. Personal cash crunches. Some executives may not have the cash available to plow into company shares, says Leland Bettis at market research firm Gradient Analytics. (darn, better give them even higher salaries then - obviously they are under compensated if they cannot find it in them to buy some shares)
  2. Greater uncertainty about the economy.
  3. Fear the downturn could be prolonged. During past market downturns, such as the 1987 crash, executives were comfortable buying amid what they thought was a short-term correction. But the fear this downturn could drag on for years reduces the incentive for CEOs to buy, Roulstone says. (did the CEOs not get the memo that the 2nd half recovery of 2008...err, make it 2009 was just around the corner?)
"Clearly, it would be a favorable sign if insiders were actively buying their companies' stocks right now," Odean says. "The lack thereof is not good news."

***************

This is one of the reasons I was shaking my head in the logic of late 2007 - hey the Middle Eastern guys whose financial expertise is .... well, sitting on large loads of oil are buying financials - so should you! [Sep 9, 2008: "Smart Money" is Buying - So Should You! (Revisited)] But how come the bank CEO's weren't?

4 comments:

market folly said...

yup no stock buybacks and no insider buying. well, save for ken lewis. historically though, buybacks always occurred when everyone's drinking koolaid anyways... DOW 14000!!! haha

http://www.marketfolly.com/2009/01/where-are-stock-buybacks.html

Michael said...

I'm going to say that the main reason is the first one you listed - a cash crunch. These guys make crazy amounts of money, but they don't just sit there on it. I'm sure they have been hammered like everyone else (perhaps more so) with the decimation of the hedge fund and real estate values. Many may love to buy their own company stock right, but don't have the cash to do so.

Guy M. Lerner said...

TM: I subscribe to Insider Score, and that is correct - there has been scant insider buying. Insider Score's market wide buying indicator tracks very closely my sentiment indicators, and in fact there was a whole host of buying last september and october, so even the Insiders can miss time things once in a while. Currently, my sentiment indicators show the "smart money" getting more bullish (which is a good sign) with the "dumb money" getting more bullish (which is a bad sign as there are too many folks on the wrong side of the trend); this will likely take 3-4 weeks to work itself out.

jegan said...

Money lists the top 10 biggest insider purchases weekly here:

http://news.moneycentral.msn.com/process/insider/top10insider.aspx

#2 in CENX, an aluminum producer I've been following... Wonder aht they know?

jegan

Post a Comment

Disclaimer: The opinions listed on this blog are for educational purpose only. You should do your own research before making any decisions.
This blog, its affiliates, partners or authors are not responsible or liable for any misstatements and/or losses you might sustain from the content provided.


Site by codeeo
Original WP Premium theme by WP Remix