- It's not just regular investors who lack the guts to step up and buy stocks. Companies' CEOs do, too. Other than a few high-profile exceptions, including the heads of JPMorgan Chase and Bank of America, officers of U.S. companies aren't exactly lining up to buy their companies' shares. The dearth of so-called insider buying, despite a nearly 40% fall in stock values in the past year, is a potentially troubling development. CEOs arguably know more about their companies' future than anyone. (nah, stock market pundits know best... just ask them)
- Because CEOs typically buy when their stock has fallen and is about to recover, the fact they're not heavily buying now is "a little disturbing," says Darren Roulstone, a professor of accounting at Ohio State University.
- The buying of stock by company officers and directors remains modest relative to selling, according to Thomson Reuters. Over the past 90 days, insiders at U.S. companies have bought just $670.2 million in stock, while they sold $2.8 billion.
- Personal cash crunches. Some executives may not have the cash available to plow into company shares, says Leland Bettis at market research firm Gradient Analytics. (darn, better give them even higher salaries then - obviously they are under compensated if they cannot find it in them to buy some shares)
- Greater uncertainty about the economy.
- Fear the downturn could be prolonged. During past market downturns, such as the 1987 crash, executives were comfortable buying amid what they thought was a short-term correction. But the fear this downturn could drag on for years reduces the incentive for CEOs to buy, Roulstone says. (did the CEOs not get the memo that the 2nd half recovery of 2008...err, make it 2009 was just around the corner?)
***************
This is one of the reasons I was shaking my head in the logic of late 2007 - hey the Middle Eastern guys whose financial expertise is .... well, sitting on large loads of oil are buying financials - so should you! [Sep 9, 2008: "Smart Money" is Buying - So Should You! (Revisited)] But how come the bank CEO's weren't?









4 comments:
yup no stock buybacks and no insider buying. well, save for ken lewis. historically though, buybacks always occurred when everyone's drinking koolaid anyways... DOW 14000!!! haha
http://www.marketfolly.com/2009/01/where-are-stock-buybacks.html
I'm going to say that the main reason is the first one you listed - a cash crunch. These guys make crazy amounts of money, but they don't just sit there on it. I'm sure they have been hammered like everyone else (perhaps more so) with the decimation of the hedge fund and real estate values. Many may love to buy their own company stock right, but don't have the cash to do so.
TM: I subscribe to Insider Score, and that is correct - there has been scant insider buying. Insider Score's market wide buying indicator tracks very closely my sentiment indicators, and in fact there was a whole host of buying last september and october, so even the Insiders can miss time things once in a while. Currently, my sentiment indicators show the "smart money" getting more bullish (which is a good sign) with the "dumb money" getting more bullish (which is a bad sign as there are too many folks on the wrong side of the trend); this will likely take 3-4 weeks to work itself out.
Money lists the top 10 biggest insider purchases weekly here:
http://news.moneycentral.msn.com/process/insider/top10insider.aspx
#2 in CENX, an aluminum producer I've been following... Wonder aht they know?
jegan
Post a Comment