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Thursday, January 31, 2008

Cameron International (CAM) Down 10% - Can't Win in Oil Services Right Now

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I don't own Cameron International (CAM), but it was one I was considering when I decided on Smith International (SII) instead... so today they have earnings, fine earnings, but guidance is again "disappointing". As with Smith International and a host of other names in oil services, whatever you buy - you lose money on, the minute they open their mouth during earnings. [US Markets Continue to Savage Oil Service Stocks]. This is why I reduced National Oilwell Varco (NOV) - since it had not opened its mouth yet. There is no winning right now in earnings season - bad news is punished, and good news is not believed and you are punished for future fears. Bear market baby. This is simply multiple contraction across the board.
  • Oil services company Cameron International Corp (CAM) reported higher fourth-quarter earnings on Thursday, boosted by strong demand from its oil and gas producer customers, but its shares fell 7 percent on a weaker-than-expected outlook.
  • Net income rose to $125.9 million, or 54 cents per share, from $96.5 million, or 42 cents per share, in the year-ago quarter. Excluding items, the company posted earnings of 61 cents a share, a penny above Wall Street's expectations and well above year-ago earnings of 47 cents a share.
  • Quarterly revenue rose 25 percent to $1.34 billion, spurred by strong revenue growth from its drilling and production systems business.
  • However, the company's first-quarter and full year 2008 outlook fell short of analysts' expectations and shares of the company fell $3.06 in pre-market trade to $40.
  • The Houston-based company forecast first-quarter earnings of about 50 cents to 53 cents a share and full year 2008 earnings of $2.45 to $2.55 a share. Analysts, on average, have forecast first-quarter earnings of 59 cents a share and full year 2008 earnings of $2.63 a share, according to Reuters Estimates.

Long Smith International, National Oilwell Varco in fund; no personal position


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