I am beginning very small stakes in the 2 companies that (to me) have emerged as the solar leaders
First Solar (FSLR) and Suntech Power (STP); one could argue that Sunpower (SPWR) is also in that group, and its relative strength is very good as well, but I can get Suntech Power (STP) for about 2/3rd the valuation on 2008 estimates that I would have to pay for Sunpower (SPWR)
Suntech Power is currently at $1.68 for 2008 estimates; I think it will be north of $2.00 (well north potentially)
Sunpower is currently at $2.04 for 2008 estimates; I think it will be higher but not sure how much more; their margins still concerned me. Even at these levels Sunpower trades at a rich premium to Suntech Power. I also have been an investor in Suntech Power since late 2006 so I know the history much more intimately. I've held the name in the fund in the past but unfortunately it was not performing so I jettisoned a large part of the position far too early. But after this most recent quarter, these are names that need to be in the portfolio for the long run. Size and scale will (eventually) matter in this commodity business and these are the 3 names that have it already.
I bought $5000 worth or a beginning position of 0.45% or so in each name. Both companies are refusing to budge downward in an ugly tape. Both companies earnings were just fantastic and the guidance is tremendous. Now First Solar might disappoint the momentum lemmings in a few quarters since it has guided first half of 2008 below Q4 2007, but thats something to worry about in a few months.
I still hold hope some panic ensues and I can get these stocks at lower prices, but I wanted to establish a small beachhead in these names; which I can add to later. While more money can be potentially made in the more speculative names, I can sleep at night with the industry leaders.
Long First Solar, Suntech Power in fund; no personal position
Friday, November 16, 2007
Starting Small Stakes in the 2 Emerging Solar Leaders
Posted by
TraderMark
at
10:52 AM
TweetThis
TweetThis
Posted by
TraderMark
at
10:52 AM
Starting Small Stakes in the 2 Emerging Solar Leaders
2007-11-16T10:52:00-05:00
TraderMark
First Solar|
Suntech Power Holdings|
| Edit This Post |
Create A New Post
Labels: First Solar, Suntech Power Holdings
Starting Small Stakes in the 2 Emerging Solar Leaders
2007-11-16T10:52:00-05:00
TraderMark
First Solar|Suntech Power Holdings|
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
Most Visited Sites
Sites I Wish I Had More Time To Read
- Newsflashr
- FinViz.com
- Zero Hedge
- Wall St Cheet Sheat
- Naked Capitalism
- Baseline Scenario
- Abnormal Returns
- TickerSpy
- Financial Armageddon
- Infectious Greed
- FT.com Alphaville.com
- 24/7 Wall Street
- The Daily Bail
- Matt Taibbi Blog
- Calculated Risk
- NYMag
- Real Clear Markets
- All About Trends
- Carpe Diem
- What's Trading
- Finz.tv
- Zentrader
- The Financial Ninja
- Daily Options Report
- Markman
- Notable Calls
- UpsideTrader
- The Smart Money Tracker
- Stock Trading to Go
- Nouriel Roubini's Blog
- Dealbreaker
- Investment Postcards
- Toro's Running of the Bulls
- Barron's Tech Trader Daily
- Market Oracle
- StraightStocks
- FINAlternatives (Hedge Funds)
- Money and Markets
- The Market Speculator
- Contrarian Profits
- Wall Street Blips
- Wall$treet Fighter
- StreetInsider Analysts News
- Blogging Stocks (AOL)
- The Daily Reckoning
- 1440 Wall Street
- HedgeFolios
- ETF Trends
- Hedge Fund Consultant Blog
- Daily Options Report
- Get Rich Slick
- Wall $treet Folly
- Guru Focus
- Fundmastery
- The Fly on the Wall
- Bill Gross PIMCO Archives
- MrSwing.com
Industry Focus Sites
- Forex Trading
- US Debt Clock
- Bloomberg Bond Yields
- List of ADRs by Country
- Mr. Copper (Kitco)
- Gas Price by State
- Mortgage Trends
- Debt Maturations
- Form 4 Oracle - Insider Filings
- Chinese Stocks
- Greentech Media
- gnuTrade
- MineWeb
- SPDR ETFs Chart
- Coal Future Pricing - Europe
- Coal Pricing - US
- Baltic Exchange Dry Index
- Solar Feeds
- The Housing Bubble
- HousingPANIC
- BusinessofVideo.com (CDNs)
Some Mutual Funds That Perk My Interest
- CGM Mutual (Kenneth Heebner)
- CGM Focus (Kenneth Heebner)
- Quaker Strategic Growth
- Loomis Sayles Mid Cap Growth
- Bridgeway Aggressive Investors
- Eaton Vance Multi Cap Growth
- Saratoga Large Cap Growth
- AFBA Five Star Large Cap
- American Century Vista
- American Century Heritage
- TCW Growth Equities
- Dynamic Power American Growth (Noah Blackstein)
- Dover Long/Short Sector Fund
Weekly Most Read
- 1: Best Performing Stock Markets by Country YTD 2009
- 2: Dennis Gartman: Gold is in a "Bubble", Meredith Whitney Just Confused
- 3: Fund Performance Period 11
- 4: Potash Could be on the Verge of a Breakout
- 5: Albert Edwards of SG Remains Firmly in Bear Camp, Calls for New Lows in 2010
- 6: George Soros Reveals Stake in Ford, Adds to Walmart, Cuts Petrobras
- 7: Time - 5 Things America Can Learn from China
- 8: WSJ - More Mutual Funds Attempt to "Time" the Market
Archives By Date
-
►
2009(1908)
-
►
11/15 - 11/22(34)
- What the Heck is Going on During Mondays Lately? A...
- NYT: With FHA Help, Easy Loans in Expensive Areas;...
- Bookkeeping: Cutting Back Perfect World (PWRD) on ...
- "Houston, We Have a (Russell 2000) Problem"
- Tim Geithner Under Fire (Videos)
- PIMCO's Bill Gross December 2009 Letter : Risk of ...
- Bookkeeping: Beginning Starter Stake in Ctrip.com ...
- More Homes in the US in Delinquency or Foreclosure...
- Bookkeeping: Selling Index Longs as S&P Breaks 110...
- John Paulson Set to Launch Gold (GLD) Hedge Fund
- Infectious Greed: Detroit v Rest of US in Unemploy...
- Toll Brothers (TOL) CEO: “Yesterday’s Subprime is ...
- Bookkeeping: Stopped Out of E-House Holdings (EJ) ...
- S&P 1100 Current Pivot Point
- Best Performing Stocks of the Decade: 1900% to 790...
- Minyanville.: Our Economy is on Steroids
- Freeport McMoran Copper & Gold (FCX) Potential Bre...
- Marc Faber: As Long as Ben Bernanke is Fed Chief, ...
- Still All Good for the Bulls - Quiet Consolidation...
- USA Today: China Pushes Solar, Wind Development
- Potash (POT) Could be on the Verge of a Breakout
- George Soros Reveals Stake in Ford (F), Adds to Wa...
- Bookkeeping: Rebuilding E-House Holdings (EJ) Posi...
- Dennis Gartman: Gold (GLD) is in a "Bubble" - Mere...
- Bookkeping: Stopped Out of E-House Holdings (EJ) S...
- It's Raining Silver (SLV)! Alleluiah!
- Interview with Andrew Horowitz of The Disciplined ...
- Time: 5 Things America Can Learn from China
- Bookkeeping: Adding to CNinsure (CISG)
- New Highs for the S&P 500; Dollar Crushed - Ground...
- Perfect World (PWRD) Beats Solidly on Earnings, Of...
- Bookkeeping: Weekly Changes to Fund Positions Year...
- Deficit Doubles for Government's Pension Benefit G...
- Updated Position Sheet
-
►
11/08 - 11/15(38)
- Sao Paulo, Shanghai, Mumbai to join New York, Lond...
- US Dollar Falls Intraday; Traders Scramble to Buy ...
- CNBC: Ron Paul - Fix the Fed (Video)
- Ordos - China's Empty City
- NYT: Rural India Gets Chance at Piece of Job Boom
- Pledge Update November 2009
- "Double Top" for Now
- Apple's (AAPL) iPhone Applications Take Root as a ...
- Wall St. Cheat Sheet Interviews Jim Rogers
- Comparing the New Claymore AlphaShares China All C...
- Same Trade as Yesterday
- WSJ: More Mutual Funds Attempt to "Time" the Marke...
- Ctrp.com (CTRP) with Impressive Earnings Report
- This Day in "Signs America is Degrading Fast": Sc...
- ► 11/01 - 11/08(38)
- ► 10/25 - 11/01(48)
- ► 10/18 - 10/25(37)
- ► 10/11 - 10/18(40)
- ► 10/04 - 10/11(35)
- ► 09/27 - 10/04(41)
- ► 09/20 - 09/27(39)
- ► 09/13 - 09/20(35)
- ► 09/06 - 09/13(32)
- ► 08/30 - 09/06(32)
- ► 08/23 - 08/30(34)
- ► 08/16 - 08/23(36)
- ► 08/09 - 08/16(39)
- ► 08/02 - 08/09(40)
- ► 07/26 - 08/02(45)
- ► 07/19 - 07/26(45)
- ► 07/12 - 07/19(45)
- ► 07/05 - 07/12(40)
- ► 06/28 - 07/05(31)
- ► 06/21 - 06/28(37)
- ► 06/14 - 06/21(44)
- ► 06/07 - 06/14(42)
- ► 05/31 - 06/07(44)
- ► 05/24 - 05/31(39)
- ► 05/17 - 05/24(33)
- ► 05/10 - 05/17(39)
- ► 05/03 - 05/10(47)
- ► 04/26 - 05/03(45)
- ► 04/19 - 04/26(43)
- ► 04/12 - 04/19(40)
- ► 04/05 - 04/12(40)
- ► 03/29 - 04/05(40)
- ► 03/22 - 03/29(45)
- ► 03/15 - 03/22(45)
- ► 03/08 - 03/15(46)
- ► 03/01 - 03/08(49)
- ► 02/22 - 03/01(49)
- ► 02/15 - 02/22(45)
- ► 02/08 - 02/15(49)
- ► 02/01 - 02/08(49)
- ► 01/25 - 02/01(49)
- ► 01/18 - 01/25(38)
- ► 01/11 - 01/18(53)
- ► 01/04 - 01/11(52)
-
►
11/15 - 11/22(34)
-
►
2008(2199)
- ► 12/28 - 01/04(27)
- ► 12/21 - 12/28(25)
- ► 12/14 - 12/21(41)
- ► 12/07 - 12/14(39)
- ► 11/30 - 12/07(34)
- ► 11/23 - 11/30(31)
- ► 11/16 - 11/23(33)
- ► 11/09 - 11/16(33)
- ► 11/02 - 11/09(33)
- ► 10/26 - 11/02(43)
- ► 10/19 - 10/26(35)
- ► 10/12 - 10/19(34)
- ► 10/05 - 10/12(38)
- ► 09/28 - 10/05(40)
- ► 09/21 - 09/28(46)
- ► 09/14 - 09/21(52)
- ► 09/07 - 09/14(49)
- ► 08/31 - 09/07(36)
- ► 08/24 - 08/31(43)
- ► 08/17 - 08/24(48)
- ► 08/10 - 08/17(50)
- ► 08/03 - 08/10(46)
- ► 07/27 - 08/03(46)
- ► 07/20 - 07/27(49)
- ► 07/13 - 07/20(48)
- ► 07/06 - 07/13(52)
- ► 06/29 - 07/06(42)
- ► 06/22 - 06/29(47)
- ► 06/15 - 06/22(41)
- ► 06/08 - 06/15(39)
- ► 06/01 - 06/08(36)
- ► 05/25 - 06/01(30)
- ► 05/18 - 05/25(39)
- ► 05/11 - 05/18(40)
- ► 05/04 - 05/11(41)
- ► 04/27 - 05/04(48)
- ► 04/20 - 04/27(44)
- ► 04/13 - 04/20(48)
- ► 04/06 - 04/13(41)
- ► 03/30 - 04/06(54)
- ► 03/23 - 03/30(41)
- ► 03/16 - 03/23(47)
- ► 03/09 - 03/16(32)
- ► 03/02 - 03/09(44)
- ► 02/24 - 03/02(54)
- ► 02/17 - 02/24(40)
- ► 02/10 - 02/17(57)
- ► 02/03 - 02/10(57)
- ► 01/27 - 02/03(49)
- ► 01/20 - 01/27(48)
- ► 01/13 - 01/20(46)
- ► 01/06 - 01/13(43)
-
▼
2007(913)
- ► 12/30 - 01/06(33)
- ► 12/23 - 12/30(29)
- ► 12/16 - 12/23(39)
- ► 12/09 - 12/16(36)
- ► 12/02 - 12/09(33)
- ► 11/25 - 12/02(44)
- ► 11/18 - 11/25(25)
-
▼
11/11 - 11/18(44)
- Bookkeeping: 'Rising Tide' Performance Week 15
- Cramer Goes off on Private Equity
- Market Seems to be Holding - Added 2 Weak Dollar P...
- An update on Market Vectors Agribusiness (MOO)
- Starting Small Stakes in the 2 Emerging Solar Lead...
- Potash (POT) Expands Mine for $2 Billion
- Garmin (GRMN) Withdraws Takeover Bid, I am Selling...
- Darn, I bought the Wrong UltraShort
- FedEx Tells us the Economy is Slowing - So is Star...
- Chinese Small Cap Speculators Wiped Out
- Mr Yun Meet Wells Fargo's CEO - Housing Worst Sinc...
- The "Rally" Fizzles - Back to S&P 1450
- Initiating Massey Energy (MEE) on Continued 'Short...
- Bookkeeping: Initiating Agco (AG) Position
- Airline Inflation?
- Rolling Correction Continues and a New Short Posit...
- LDK Solar (LDK) To Report Audit Findings in Early ...
- Suntech Power (STP) Reports Outstanding Results
- Housing Will be Flat Next Year! Whew!
- Tougher Sledding than it Looks of Late (and This Y...
- Separating Chaffe from Wheat - The Selloff Identif...
- Canadian Solar (CSIQ) Up Over 40% - What's the Fus...
- Bookkeeping; Raising Cash
- Fund Positions by Market Cap - Mid November Update...
- Where to from Here
- Bookkeeping: Closing Cummins Engine (CMI)
- 7 Scary Headlines on a Random Day: What Are the S...
- If You Love Some Volatility
- Bookkeping: Closing some smaller position: Freepor...
- Hmm, LDK Solar (LDK) Down 9% While Rest of Sector ...
- Chinese Worried About BHP Billiton(BHP)/Rio Tinto ...
- Bookkeeping: Early Morning Buys
- Earnings: WuXi PharmaTech (WX)
- Bookkeeping: End of Day Transaction - Selling Stre...
- Tyson Foods (TSN) Continues to Point to Food Infla...
- Really Ugly Out There
- What's Working Today? And Why Not Cutting Bait.
- 'Tried and True' turn into 'Heartbreakers'
- Solar Sinking and Other Transactions
- Rolling Correction Runs Through Agriculture/Infras...
- Two Valentine's Day Portfolios: Heartbreakers or T...
- Corn, Wheat, Soybeans, now Cotton? A World of Sho...
- Foster Wheeler (FWLT) CEO on Cramer
- Bookkeping: Weekly Changes to Fund Positions Week ...
- ► 11/04 - 11/11(54)
- ► 10/28 - 11/04(51)
- ► 10/21 - 10/28(57)
- ► 10/14 - 10/21(55)
- ► 10/07 - 10/14(57)
- ► 09/30 - 10/07(55)
- ► 09/23 - 09/30(41)
- ► 09/16 - 09/23(41)
- ► 09/09 - 09/16(37)
- ► 09/02 - 09/09(31)
- ► 08/26 - 09/02(44)
- ► 08/19 - 08/26(43)
- ► 08/12 - 08/19(37)
- ► 08/05 - 08/12(27)








