A lot of times things in the stock market make little sense. For example, coffee and sugar are rallying - coffee at a 23 month high. So how do you play that? According to CNBC's Joe Terranova on Fast Money - you buy a company who sells do it yourself coffee in the U.S. A sensible connection? (higher coffee prices mean Americans will rush out to buy K-cups?) Not in my eyes - frankly I'd expect higher coffee prices to be a negative to margins but what do I know about stock market logic. The market is about perception and if this is 'the trade' I don't want to get in front of it. My shorts are simply technical in nature so this is a piece of fundamental news (a commodity surging) combined with some simplistic logic, which can make the trade go awry. I will stand out of the way and take a quick 2.5ish% loss and look for something not subject to "Terranova logic"
I will be covering on the open on Green Mountain Coffee (GMCR) which is mid $25s in premarket aka its 50 day moving average.
In a shocking development I see S&P 500 futures up strongly in premarket!!
Tuesday, June 15, 2010
Bookkeeping: Will Cover Green Mountain Coffee (GMCR) Short on the Open
Best Of FMMF
- 1: Warren Buffet Piles on Europe
- 2: [Video] Jim Chanos Returns from Europe, Even More Bearish on China
- 3: A Chart to Open Our Eyes - Staggering Changes by Multinationals in Employment Behavior 00s vs 90s
- 4: Futures Blasted on Dexia Woes... and Poor Preliminary China Data
- 5: Market Working to Worst Thanksgiving Since 1932
- 6: Et Tu, German Bonds? Poor Auction Raises Eyebrows