Thursday, April 15, 2010

China Q1 GDP Surges to Nearly 12%*

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As always, take any government report with many grains of salt - especially one that purports to measure a multi trillion dollar economy within 45 days of quarter end.  That said, China claims they put in a 11.9% GDP quarter.
  • China's economy accelerated more than expected in the first quarter, while consumer and wholesale inflation -- though mixed -- indicated a broadly rising trend, stoking further concerns of economic overheating in the world's third-largest economy.
  • Gross domestic product rose 11.9% from the year-ago period, accelerating from 10.7% in the last quarter of 2009. The expansion was the fastest in nearly three years.
  • The surge in economic expansion was up from just over 6 percent in the same quarter a year ago. It was supported by a 19.6 percent rise in industrial output over a year earlier and a nearly 26 percent rise in investment in factories and other fixed assets.
  • On the inflation front, March's consumer price index was 2.4% higher than a year earlier, easing slightly from a 2.7% rise in February. (hmm... Larry Kudlow would be proud - more Goldilocks data, massive GDP growth with little to no inflation)
  • The latest data showed China is on the verge of overtaking Japan as the second-largest economy behind the United States. China's gross domestic product last year was $4.9 trillion, just behind Japan's $5.1 trillion. Tokyo has yet to report first-quarter figures.

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    Completely unrelated - this morning's headlines are almost amusing in light of the stock market action:
    1. US foreclosure filings surge
    2. Weekly jobless claims surge 
    3. Greek debt worries reignite
    This combo should cause the market to sell off for at least 10 minutes.  Perhaps even 30.

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