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Tuesday, April 7, 2009

ProLogis (PLD) with Massive 115M Shares (At Least) Share Offering

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Oh great... here we go again. We know this this turned out last time [Apr 2: Kimco Realty (KIM) With Massive 70M Share Offering] - and that dilution was only 30%ish+. [Apr 5: I Fought the Wall Street, and the Wall Street Won] KIM was down 5% in after hours when it was announced before rocketing up 30% the next day.

ProLogis (PLD) is putting Kimco to shame - the initial offering is 115M shares (they only have 267M shares) so 43% dilution. If they do the over allottment of 17M more shares it will be nearly a 50% dilution. Almost as cool as a reverse split! And unlike Kimco, ProLogis is UP 6% already in afterhours. Yippee! Dilute me! Hit me with more shares.

Now we know the game - tomorrow we look for the upgrades by the shady brokerages who are in delight over this ... which will allow everyone who gets in at tomorrow's offering price (big boys) to dump it on the retail public for what? 20%? 50%? 100%? 200%? profit? I mean if 30% dilution is worth 30% gain, what would 50% dilution be worth?

Looks like I'll be covering tomorrow bright and early! Maybe SL Green (SLG) can do a full 100% dilution, for every share that exists they can issue a new one and then we can have 3 analysts upgrade the "courageous" decision. Well we only have 3 REITs left to pull this ploy - we'll be on the lookout.

Congrats institutional buyers (again!) - time to call Citi, Merrill, and DB and ask for that allotment of shares to dump on unsuspecting retail buyers tomorrow. Then you can make your appearance on CNBC and say how your full year investment record is par excellete through natural stock selection and rigorous analysis. Boo Yah! Always a bull market somewhere.
  • ProLogis (NYSE: PLD - News), a leading global provider of distribution facilities, today announced it intends to offer 115 million common shares in a registered public offering. The company also plans to grant the underwriters a 30-day option to purchase up to 17.25 million additional shares to cover overallotments, if any.
  • Merrill Lynch & Co., Citi and Deutsche Bank Securities are acting as joint bookrunners for the proposed offering.
Oh joy - my favorite crew - Merrill, Citi, and Deutsche Bank. Let me know when the upgrades and buy recommendations start to hit!

Here is the key, its Kimco 2.0
  • Certain of the joint bookrunners and their respective affiliates are lenders and agents under the global line of credit and will receive a portion of the proceeds of the offering.
Too big to fail, but too big to have conflicting interests left and right. Once more - thank you Phil Gramm for this system. You were right, deregulation of financials is awesome.

Short all names mentioned in fund; short SL Green and Phil Gramm in personal account


6 comments:

Anonymous said...

There truly is no shame with these people. They saw the stock price going back to where it belonged after the pump and dump late last week, and it looks like they rushed a new offering out the door while the getting was good.

Wall Street makes pool halls blush.

ScottG said...

Good. It'll bring SRS down another 10% so I can get a nice entry point. I was afraid I missed that train.

Anonymous said...

Wouldn't the play to have gone long PLD after the KIM secondary?

TraderMark said...

Anon

going long any REIT would of been the play for that day at least (Fri)

They all began rolling over slowly yest and harder today

PLD down 13% today

unless you were out instantly or had a lot of faith you'd be a loser right quick

Anonymous said...

Well, Prologis is currently sitting on a tiny gain for the day. Those who were owners of the PLD-G preferred shares, however, walk away with 30% gains.

TraderMark said...

Amazingly they did 150M+ which is >50% dilution.

Always a bull market somewhere; I emphasize "bull"

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