Wednesday, March 4, 2009

Potash (POS), Mosaic (MOS), Intrepid Potash (IPI) Come Under Pressure After Talk of Uralkali 25% Price Cut

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Just another example of how quick and nimble one must be to lock in fleeting gains - Potash (POT), Mosaic (MOS), and Intrepid Potash (IPI) are all reversing (from very large gains) on news Russian miner Uralkali has cut prices to Brazil by 25% in 2009

Via UK Reuters
  • Russian potash miner Uralkali said on Wednesday its Belarussian export joint venture has cut the price of supplies of the soil nutrient to Brazil by about 25 percent from March to May 2009.
  • Belarusian Potash Co (BPC), a joint venture between Uralkali and Belaruskali, will charge $750 per tonne for potash deliveries to large Brazilian importers and $765 per tonne for shipments to smaller customers. The previous prices, applied since July 1, were $1,000 and $1,010 per tonne, respectively.
I added to Potash on this news; I'm thankful I took a large slug of Mosaic out this morning at much higher prices. Bulls want to see Potash hold $75 and Mosaic $37s (50 day moving averages) - Potash is right at $75 now. Aggressive buyers can enter Potash here with tight stop loss...

(EDIT 12:06 stopped out of Potash just tried to buy under $76, at $74.90s) :)

Long Potash, Mosaic in fund; no personal position

5 comments:

sliman said...

Morgan Stanley says buy POT Goldman is cautious. With several countries having droughts (inc. china) it seems potash will be in high demand. any thoughts?

TraderMark said...

agriculture is and will remain my fav sector for years.

what the stock does in the next 72 hours is unknowable. perhaps market rally will let it bounce.

UrbaneGorilla said...

Similar discounting is occurring in steel as well. I'm not sure why there is so much bullish chatter about steel companies. Course dummy me! I had to go buy Us Steel today expecting a pop on that noise, only to close it about an hour later as I realized it was just plain silly. I just don;t buy the China story yet. I don't see the Baltic Dry as anything more than a minor reversion and am fascinated with people buying the AG names or commodities yet. Maybe I need to stop reading as many obscure feeds from China,and the various industries as I do, and just jump in with the crowd. They say "Don't try to outthink the market. Let the market provide the direction". Hmmm ..

jegan

TraderMark said...

the mob is not necessarily right

but hard to fight ;)

I dont buy the China thing one bit ... on a RELATIVE basis yes. but on an absolute basis no.

UrbaneGorilla said...

TM... I've got my jogging shoes on, and running with the crowd. 'Bay to Breakers'... If they jog down Market St, I try to beat them to Market St. If they go down Figeroa St, me too. If you see me diverging from the crowd, please throw something at me.

jegan

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