Thursday, January 15, 2009

And Then There was One

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Truly amazing carnage in our financials - we've lost AIG (AIG), Lehman (LEH), Bear (BSC), Merrill (MER).... Fannie (FNM), Freddie (FRE) .... now we lose Citigroup (C), and looks like Bank of America (BAC) is on it's way....

We're going to be left with one "supermarket" bank....

Again, just nationalize the system... we're already there - we're just playing a charade of "free markets" right now. Thank you Phil Gramm.
  • A person with knowledge of the discussions said Thursday the new aid package (for BAC) could be modeled along the lines of the financial lifeline that was thrown to Citigroup Inc. in November. (well that worked out well for Citigroup, so why not?)
The good news is in the future you won't see the losses these financials are taking each and every day which are now so public in BAC and C. They will quietly suffered - just imagine the carnage going on at Fannie and Freddie. These losses (to the tax payer) will be written off quietly in the background (since the stock symbols won't shout out the damage any more) and then CNBC can cheer about how all the damage in financials is now done with.... as the losses mount on your grandchildren's "investments".

2008 was the year of "Sunday night" nationalizing (waiting to see what steps government did to save the system on a Sunday night before Asian markets opened). Of course the pundits said, once we turned the calender, it's a whole new ballgame!

Not so much. See you Sunday night.

p.s. I'm dumping about half of short exposure here into S&P 820... if we fall through the ice, I'll get it back. I'd assume bulls make at least some defense here. If they cannot - then one can get short exposure back and S&P 820 is the new ceiling (down from S&P 850).

No positions

3 comments:

jegan said...

TM.. This is off topic... But I couldn't locate your original reference to GGP.... Anyway.. You're **famous** and apparently now a certified **talking head**... You've been quoted by Judy Weilin her article:

Conference Call Highlights: Update on Retail and Mall REITs
by: SA Editor Judy Weil January 15, 2009

"However, Ackman actually may not be interested in the rise or fall of his GGP shares. Seeking Alpha's **Trader Mark** says the money manager wants bankruptcy."


The link:

http://seekingalpha.com/article/114912-conference-call-highlights-update-on-retail-and-mall-reits?source=email

Congrats! jegan ;-)

TraderMark said...

What I found interesting is the "ownership" implied by SA.

Seeking Alpha's TraderMark?

Yo, I'm an independent entity. lol.

When I'm talking down Kudlow @ 7 PM weekday nights, then I've made it. Until then, nope.

jegan said...

Actually.. I just read your article on my SeekingAlpha feed... Would have posted my comment there if I had come across it first.

I don't know about that Judy Weil. Her titles often contradict the substance of her articles and the referenced article noted several REITs which were not mall REITs at all.... Such as Vornado, which is an office REIT... Hmm..

Anyway.. I don;t think anyone can talk over Kudlow.. I doubt that Chris Matthews could and he's pretty voluble.

Finally.... Take your Kudos when you can.. They're in short supply this year.... Budget cuts you know...

jegan

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