I'm taking some profits off on items bought into the morasse Friday - generally 15-25% of various positions to lock in some profits. Friday had all the makings of a classic bottom and the first impulse is to sell this rally assuming it will fail like every other for months. Hence I believe this one has a good chance to continue for a while. But, when you can make 20-30% in positions in 1 trading session, I'll take some of that and move it to cash. Not adding short exposure but simply locking in some quick gains. As I said this weekend, when a rally does indeed come it might indeed be hard to keep up with the indexes on the upside since the move could be dramatic. I am hoping things don't just go up in a straight line and we can have a more systematic rally that builds nice support. It will be interesting to see the action today and tomorrow as a lot of people a couple of miles underwater will be happy to sell into any rally. Volume will be key.
On another note - I was up at 4 AM (a lot of sleepless nights of late, eh) and watched UK's Gordon Brown and Alistair Darling's news conference on their solutions to the credit crisis. Since my comments have a political bent, I'll surpress most of them but let me just say in 30 minutes of watching these 2 I felt more confidence in leadership than in days, months, years in watching US leadership (both sides of the aisle). It is truly sad to see the difference - they were bright, on the ball, stern, intellectual, well spoken, confidant - everything you'd want to see in leadership in time of crisis. I also did not feel like they would be "fun to have a beer with" (well maybe for me since they talk my language but not the typical guy on the street) which appears to be the #1 character trait Americans look for in a politician. Somehow the culture has turned where we look down on brains as "elitist". Very strange. I wish I had the video clip but this is not the type of stuff people rush to put onto YouTube. It is nice to know someone in the world wear's the daddy pants. It looks like the world is following the UK lead.... I expect the US to roll out similar plans to the UK except of course to not have the punitive penalties to executives. Because that would punish capitalism.... and reduce political contributions... that would be un-American.
Monday, October 13, 2008
Bookkeeping: Taking Some Profits
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9:49 AM
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7 comments:
You're not going to win the support of the "Joe six packs" with that kind of talk. lol.
I'm inclined as well to think this rally will have lots of ups and downs. Too many retail investors that want redemtions after viewing their accounts over the weekend. Any selling by funds may be forced but it'll likely happen. Think even after the 87 crash the market went sideways for weeks before the ultimate rally.
Joe 6pack is being reduced to Joe 3pack by the actions of both parties.
Term limits needed and sense of entitlement needs to leave Washington. They have gone from "not helping us" to "hurting us"
yup. in addition to the pooring of america, we have endured the dumbing of america as well.
Dumbing of america happened many decades ago. We're only noticing this now, because the skills and talent are leaving the country and secondly, the "hurt-doers" are becoming more blatant in their mistreatment of the people. :-)
I spent some time in England and still watch the Parlimentary debates. They put our Congressional hearings to shame. Gordon Brown doesn't put on the show that Tony Blair used to. That guy was so quick and so up on every little issue.. When I watch the British political process, I get the feeling that I'm watching our founding fathers debate.
Nice commentary TM .. jegan
I've watched those as well on TV and they are so different than the US. In US most Senators talk and there are like 4 people in the room. It is full contact debate in UK - I really wonder how some of our recent Presidents would of fared in such an atmosphere without talking points.
I haven't seen much of Gordon Brown so I cannot speak to the long run - just what I saw today, and frankly it made me feel jealous - although I realize Brown does not have the highest approval in UK either.
I just wish we had 4-6 parties and let real politics begin.
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