Monday, September 15, 2008

Foster Wheeler CEO on Mad Money

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Is is too bad the CEO is retiring - everytime I hear him talk it inspires a lot of confidence - much like Blackrock's Fink or Potash's Doyle. Full story here. It is truly sad to watch this stock get pole axed while not one thing has changed for the business. HAL9000 hates Foster Wheeler (FWLT)

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Infrastructure giant Foster Wheeler in 2006 reported record earnings. The next year the company doubled that. Now, two quarters into 2008, earnings are up another 35%. But still, the stock has been cut in half.

Apparently, Wall Street’s afraid that falling energy prices have either prompted project cancellations or are holding back new business. That’s why Foster Wheeler [FWLT 40.37 -1.95 (-4.61%) ] CEO Ray Milchovich today announced a $750 million buyback, an amount equal to about one-eighth of the company’s total capitalization right now. As a result, the stock rose $4.02 in Friday trading, or 10.5%.

Milchovich called the move “prudent” given that FWLT, despite having virtually no corporate debt and $1.3 billion cash at the end of the second quarter (this is company with a $6 billion market cap), is being treated like it was a financial stock. At one point this week, FLWT was trading at just 6.5 times earnings.

That’s beyond cheap for a firm that’s experiencing no project delays or cancellations despite falling energy prices. Foster Wheeler builds infrastructure for energy, chemicals, pharmaceuticals and power companies, and the CEO said that business is going strong. If anything, Milchovich said, the only issue is the Foster Wheeler doesn’t have all the capacity it needs to meet the market demand.

Besides, Foster Wheeler’s business is most successful in parts of the world where energy is most abundant. The company does well in Australia, parts of Asia and the Middle East. And these countries have pre-sold the energy they’re producing, Milchovich said, “so it’s impractical for these projects to be cancelled.”

Still, there are doubters who believe that, while Foster Wheeler isn’t experiencing cancellations, the declining energy prices are preventing the company from booking new projects. But Milchovich denied this was the case, saying that business orders start at a proposal stage. So there are a few months between first offer and contract. And the CEO has seen no “material change” whatsoever in either the proposals or the eventual orders.

“Our long-term outlook is very, very, very robust,” Milchovich said. “And if it weren’t, we wouldn’t have announced the buyback program this morning.”

Foster Wheeler is just one of the many commodity-related stocks that Cramer has said is being hurt by hedge funds. Funds desperate to raise cash for client redemptions are dumping millions of shares at a time into the open market, bringing down FWLT even further. But this new buyback now gives these hedge funds “a place to go,” Cramer said, saving the stock from more damage.

Cramer thinks Foster Wheeler goes higher.

3 comments:

Parker said...

I work for a competitor of FWLT (but thank god we are privately held), and I can vouch for what the CEO is saying if our business is any indication theirs. We have not seen any indication of a slowdown and will have already met year end-sales goals by the end of the 3Q. Proposals still flying out the door like they have been the last few years. I have been buying FLR myself, but they all kind of trade the same.

Parker

TraderMark said...

Thanks for the "inside" scoop. Everytime a stock reacts poorly I scour to see if something has changed that I have missed. I cannot find anything for the Fluor, Jacobs Engineering, Foster Wheelers.

But it doesn't matter in an environment where hedge funds sell relentlessly. On top of the funds that need to liquidate, we seem to have a lot of other hedge funds who guess which funds are in trouble, and target their holdings with short selling. So you have a double punch.

This is why I lightened up on FWLT Friday. Their buyback was good for a 1 day bounce and then back to non reality - i.e. fundamentals mean nothing.

TraderMark said...

Parker, any familiarity with HIL? I've been looking at that one for a few weeks now. It's more of a project manager than pure play E&C but it's an impressive company.

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