Tuesday, September 30, 2008

BB&T (BBT) CEO Slams Bailout

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Well, this sort of truth telling (even if the bailout "is" necessary) puts BB&T (BBT) up at the top of the list of larger regional banks to buy for the "financials are back" sector rotation along with Wells and PNC Financial. Nice! Bank on bank hate is interesting to read ;) Obviously everyone is talking "their book" so you must read everyone's viewpoint with multiple grains of salt.
  • A significant and immediate tax credit for financial institutions to purchase homes would be a more effective solution for the financial crisis than the proposed $700 billion federal bailout, said BB&T CEO John Allison. The federal government should also buy homes, and not securities backed by mortgages, he wrote in a Sept. 23 letter to the U.S. Congress. (I said this would be one of the end games last year)
  • “This is a housing value crisis,” Allison wrote. “It does not make economic sense to purchase credit card loans, automobile loans, etc. The government should directly purchase housing assets, not real estate bonds.”
  • In his letter, Allison questions how the government will pay the proper price for distressed real estate assets. Overpaying will harm taxpayers, while underpaying will hurt real estate markets (and banks). (this is a point we've made in the blog)
Now for the kicker
  • He adds the primary beneficiaries of the proposed rescue are Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE:GS) and Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS). The U.S. Treasury, he says, is “totally dominated by Wall Street investment bankers,” and “cannot be relied on to objectively assess all the implications of government policy on all financial intermediaries.” (oooohhh the truth, it hurts!)
  • Allison also said it is “inappropriate that the debate is largely being shaped by the financial institutions who made very poor decisions.” (Bingo - we broke the vase, let us figure out how we can best benefit from rebuilding said vase)
  • BB&T is a $136 billion banking company with 1,500 branches. Although the company (NYSE:BBT) has been hurt by the slowing real estate markets, it continues to turn a profit. It posted second-quarter net income of $428 million, or 78 cents per diluted share. It made $458 million, or 83 cents per share, in the second quarter of 2007.
  • Allison is scheduled to retire at the end of the year. (bummer)
Here are some other points I found from his letter to Congress - interesting reading even if I don't agree 100%.

Key Points on “Rescue” Plan From A Healthy Bank’s Perspective

  1. Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae are the primary cause of the mortgage crisis. These government supported enterprises distorted normal market risk mechanisms. While individual private financial institutions have made serious mistakes, the problems in the financial system have been caused by government policies including, affordable housing (now sub-prime), combined with the market disruptions caused by the Federal Reserve holding interest rates too low and then raising interest rates too high.
  2. There is no panic on Main Street and in sound financial institutions. The problems are in high-risk financial institutions and on Wall Street.
  3. While all financial intermediaries are being impacted by liquidity issues, this is primarily a bailout of poorly run financial institutions. It is extremely important that the bailout not damage well run companies.
  4. Corrections are not all bad. The market correction process eliminates irrational competitors. There were a number of poorly managed institutions and poorly made financial decisions during the real estate boom. It is important that any rules post “rescue” punish the poorly run institutions and not punish the well run companies.
  5. A significant and immediate tax credit for purchasing homes would be a far less expensive and more effective cure for the mortgage market and financial system than the proposed “rescue” plan.
  6. This is a housing value crisis. It does not make economic sense to purchase credit card loans, automobile loans, etc. The government should directly purchase housing assets, not real estate bonds. This would include lots and houses under construction.
  7. The guaranty of money funds by the U.S. Treasury creates enormous risk for the banking industry. Banks have been paying into the FDIC insurance fund since 1933. The fund has a limit of $100,000 per client. An arbitrary, “out of the blue” guarantee of money funds creates risk for the taxpayers and significantly distorts financial markets.
  8. Protecting the banking system, which is fundamentally controlled by the Federal Reserve, is an established government function. It is completely unclear why the government needs to or should bailout insurance companies, investment banks, hedge funds and foreign companies.
  9. It is extremely unclear how the government will price the problem real estate assets. Priced too low, the real estate markets will be worse off than if the bail out did not exist. Priced too high, the taxpayers will take huge losses. Without a market price, how can you rationally determine value?
  10. The proposed bankruptcy “cram down” will severely negatively impact mortgage markets and will damage well run institutions. This will provide an incentive for homeowners who are able to pay their mortgages, but have a loss in their house, to take bankruptcy and force losses on banks. (Banks would not have received the gains had the houses appreciated.) This will substantially increase the risk in mortgage lending and make mortgage pricing much higher in the future.
  11. Fair Value accounting should be changed immediately. It does not work when there are no market prices. If we had Fair Value accounting, as interpreted today, in the early 1990’s the United States financial system would have crashed. Accounting should not drive economic activity, it should reflect it.
  12. The proposed new merger accounting rules should be deferred for at least five years. The new merger accounting rules are creating uncertainty for high quality companies who might potentially purchase weaker companies.
  13. The primary beneficiaries of the proposed rescue are Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley. The Treasury has a number of smart individuals, including Hank Paulson. However, Treasury is totally dominated by Wall Street investment bankers. They do not have knowledge of the commercial banking industry. Therefore, they can not be relied on to objectively assess all the implications of government policy on all financial intermediaries. The decision to protect the money funds is a clear example of a material lack of insight into the risk to the total financial system.
  14. Arbitrary limits on executive compensation will be self defeating. With these limits, only the failing financial institutions will participate in the “rescue,” effectively making this plan a massive subsidy for incompetence. Also, how will companies attract the leadership talent to manage their business effectively with irrational compensation limits?
Nice.

No position


2 comments:

shaxmatist said...

*This is a housing value crisis, Allison wrote.*

The housing value crisis is what we had in 2002-2006, when the prices of houses balooned far beyond the purchasing ability of home buyers... what we have now is simply correction of prices back to fair value... if that bankrupts some fools in the banking industry, they deserve it.

Michael said...

Shax,

I agree and it's why I've been anti-bailout since day 1 of BSC failing. The gov. needs to get out of the way and quit fn' up the process.

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