Saturday, August 23, 2008

European Banks Becoming Addicted to Nanny State Central Bank(s)

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Gosh, this is in parts sad and frightful - Bank Borrowing from ECB is Out of Control. (ECB = European Central Bank = Europe's Federal Reserve) I only point this out because the financial problems are both global in nature and we are doing the EXACT same thing here. When these "crutches" first come out we are told, oh it's just for a few weeks or months. Then they get extended until "things get better". But what's half a trillion among friends? [Dec 18: Libor Rates Plummet on Half a Trillion Infusion by ECB] These central banks truly have developed a nanny state - just imagine if your small business was faltering - no one comes to your rescue...
  • The European Central Bank has issued the clearest warning to date that it cannot serve as a perpetual crutch for lenders caught off-guard by the severity of the credit crunch. Not Wellink, the Dutch central bank chief and a major figure on the ECB council, said that banks were becoming addicted to the liquidity window in Frankfurt and were putting the authorities in an invidious position.
  • "There is a limit how long you can do this. There is a point where you take over the market," he told Het Finacieele Dagblad, the Dutch financial daily. "If we see banks becoming very dependent on central banks, then we must push them to tap other sources of funding," he said. (Please send that memo to Uncle Ben)
  • While he did not name the chief culprits, there are growing concerns about the scale of ECB borrowing by small Spanish lenders and 'cajas' with heavy exposed to the country's property crash. Dutch banks have also been hungry clients at the ECB window. (Remember Spain has just about as bad, if not worse, housing situation than we do - they, unlike the Germans or French, drank the United States Kool Aid of "lightly regulated markets will take care of themselves" and "0% down for $350K homes! Works like a charm!")
  • ...over-reliance on the ECB funds has become an increasingly bitter issue at the bank because the policy amounts to a covert bail-out of lenders in southern Europe. (my suggestion is take the American way and just make it a 'plain in sight' bail-out. Covert is sooooooo European) "Nobody dares pinpoint the country involved because as soon as we do it will cause a market reaction and lead to a meltdown for the banks," said the source. (hello? Spain) :)
  • This "soft bail-out" is largely underwritten by German and North European taxpayers, though it is occurring in a surreptitious way. (oh you mean the ones who played by the rules and stuck to normal lending patterns? aha)
  • The latest data from the Bank of Spain shows that the country's banks have increased their ECB borrowing to a record €49.6bn (£39bn). A number have been issuing mortgage securities for the sole purpose of drawing funds from Frankfurt. (Cripes) These banks are heavily reliant on short-term and medium funding from the capital markets. This spigot of credit is now almost entirely closed, making it very hard to roll over loans as they expire.
  • The ECB has accepted a very wide range of mortgage collateral from the start of the credit crunch. (bring us your weary, your junky, your unpriceable) This is a key reason why the eurozone has so far avoided a major crisis along the lines of Bear Stearns or Northern Rock. While this policy buys time, it leaves the ECB holding large amounts of questionable debt and may be storing up problems for later.
  • The practice is also skirts legality and risks setting off a political storm. The Maastricht treaty prohibits long-term taxpayer support of this kind for the EMU banking system. (that's ok - we've done it here too)
  • Few officials thought this problem would arise. It was widely presumed that the capital markets would recover quickly, allowing distressed lenders to return to normal sources of funding. (may I refer you to article 32.1-b from the Kool Aid Thinking Journal)
  • Not to miss out, Nationwide recently announced that it was setting up operations in Ireland, partly in order to be able to take advantage of ECB liquidity if necessary. Any bank can tap ECB funds if they have a registered branch in the eurozone, although collateral must be denominated in euros. (so what is happening now is UK banks are rushing to set up entities in Euro zone so they can also suck from the teat of the nanny state central banks! Nothing like unintended consequences of market interference!)
  • Jean-Pierre Roth, head of the Swiss National Bank, complained this week that lenders were getting into the habit of shopping for funds from those authorities that offer the best terms. The practice is playing havoc monetary policy. "What we should avoid is some kind of arbitrage by banks, which say they are going to go to central bank X, instead of central bank Y, because conditions are more attractive," he said. (if I weren't laughing, I'd be crying)
Of course we are innocent here as shown below :)

[Jul 30: Federal Reserve Continues its Historic Actions]
[Jul 11: More Historic Actions (Potentially) by the Fed]
[May 4: Moral Hazard Run Amuck]
[Mar 22: A Historic 9 Days for the Federal Reserve]
[Mar 16: Fed Races to Rescue Bear Stearns]

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