I need to raise cash since I want to buy more Cleveland Cliffs (CLF) on this 10% drop - so I can either (a) liquidate some short exposure or (b) shuffle some exposure from 1 bucket to another on the long side.
Since I still don't see any signs of a real bottom, I've chosen the latter. Hard to pick what to sell, but in a pinch I've decided to close Mexican homebuilder Homex (HXM) right under $55 and roll the funds into Cleveland Cliffs in the $98s. The only risk I see to CLF here is a bidding war, but since this is not a hostile takeover and both boards have agreed to the deal perhaps another suitor won't be coming. Either way, CLF as a stand alone business is worth a lot more than these prices.
I sold the last 0.6% of portfolio stake in Homex at around $55, and rolled the entirety into Cleveland Cliffs in the $98s. Remember this fell to $85 in the panic selloff just last week, so there is potential for even better prices ahead. CLF is now back to a 2.3% stake.
As for Homex, we bought this in March at right around the same price it is today [Mar 7: Restarting Position in Mexican Homebuilder Homex Development (HXM)] No change of opinion on this name (still bullish) but without a real fund up and running and new investments coming in from shareholders, I have a closed system of dollars so something had to go.
There is just a ton of news today from CPI (still way understating reality but finally inching up) to Wells Fargo (best in breed in a terrible neighborhood) to the fight against short sellers to the rumors of Goldman causing run on banks with their "rumors" etc. Just no time to get to it all right now but this is one very interesting day, in a historical time in our markets.
[May 30: S&P on Homex]
Long Cleveland Cliffs in fund and personal account
Wednesday, July 16, 2008
Bookeeping: Out Homex (HXM) In Cleveland Cliffs (CLF)
Posted by
TraderMark
at
9:55 AM
TweetThis
TweetThis
Posted by
TraderMark
at
9:55 AM
Comments (4)
| Edit This Post |
Create A New Post
Labels: Cleveland Cliffs, Homex Development
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
Most Visited Sites
Sites I Wish I Had More Time To Read
- Newsflashr
- FinViz.com
- Zero Hedge
- Wall St Cheet Sheat
- Naked Capitalism
- Baseline Scenario
- Abnormal Returns
- TickerSpy
- Financial Armageddon
- Infectious Greed
- FT.com Alphaville.com
- 24/7 Wall Street
- The Daily Bail
- Matt Taibbi Blog
- Calculated Risk
- NYMag
- Real Clear Markets
- All About Trends
- Carpe Diem
- What's Trading
- Finz.tv
- Zentrader
- The Financial Ninja
- Daily Options Report
- Markman
- Notable Calls
- UpsideTrader
- The Smart Money Tracker
- Stock Trading to Go
- Nouriel Roubini's Blog
- Dealbreaker
- Investment Postcards
- Toro's Running of the Bulls
- Barron's Tech Trader Daily
- Market Oracle
- StraightStocks
- FINAlternatives (Hedge Funds)
- Money and Markets
- The Market Speculator
- Contrarian Profits
- Wall Street Blips
- Wall$treet Fighter
- StreetInsider Analysts News
- Blogging Stocks (AOL)
- The Daily Reckoning
- 1440 Wall Street
- HedgeFolios
- ETF Trends
- Hedge Fund Consultant Blog
- Daily Options Report
- Get Rich Slick
- Wall $treet Folly
- Guru Focus
- Fundmastery
- The Fly on the Wall
- Bill Gross PIMCO Archives
- MrSwing.com
Industry Focus Sites
- Forex Trading
- US Debt Clock
- Bloomberg Bond Yields
- List of ADRs by Country
- Mr. Copper (Kitco)
- Gas Price by State
- Mortgage Trends
- Debt Maturations
- Form 4 Oracle - Insider Filings
- Chinese Stocks
- Greentech Media
- gnuTrade
- MineWeb
- SPDR ETFs Chart
- Coal Future Pricing - Europe
- Coal Pricing - US
- Baltic Exchange Dry Index
- Solar Feeds
- The Housing Bubble
- HousingPANIC
- BusinessofVideo.com (CDNs)
Some Mutual Funds That Perk My Interest
- CGM Mutual (Kenneth Heebner)
- CGM Focus (Kenneth Heebner)
- Quaker Strategic Growth
- Loomis Sayles Mid Cap Growth
- Bridgeway Aggressive Investors
- Eaton Vance Multi Cap Growth
- Saratoga Large Cap Growth
- AFBA Five Star Large Cap
- American Century Vista
- American Century Heritage
- TCW Growth Equities
- Dynamic Power American Growth (Noah Blackstein)
- Dover Long/Short Sector Fund
Weekly Most Read
- 1; Goldman Sachs Q3 Winning Percentage: 98.4%
- 2: Warren Buffet's Berkshire Hathaway to Acquire Burlington Northern; Split Shares
- 3: STEC Crashes 30% on EMC Inventory Warning
- 4: Las Vegas Sands Earnings "Ok" but CEO Talk Supports Stock
- 5: Barron's - a Scare that can Last Beyond Halloween
- 6: Nearly 600,000 Americans Walked Away from their Mortgage in 2008
- 7: Paul Tudor Jones Q3 Investor Letter - Another Gold Bug
- 8: Nouriel Roubini CNBC: "Mother of all Carry Trades"
- 9: Potential Fly in Bull's Ointment - Early Stage Head and Shoulders Formation
Archives By Date
-
►
2009(1844)
-
►
11/08 - 11/15(10)
- Fund Performance Period 11
- Bookkeeping: Selling Another 1/4th of Original SPY...
- Las Vegas Sands (LVS) Sets Hong Kong Macau IPO Ran...
- Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (RDY) Impressive on Both ...
- Bookkeeping: Adding to Discover Financial (DFS)
- Bookkeeping: Covering Costco (COST) Short
- Bookkeeping: Selling Half SPY Calls Purchased Frid...
- Bookkeeping: Weekly Changes to Fund Positions Year...
- Updated Position Sheet
- Barry Ritholtz Shreds Warren Buffet
-
►
11/01 - 11/08(38)
- In Case You Missed It - the Week's Most Popular Po...
- Blackstone Group (BX) Continues its Recovery; Beat...
- Wells Fargo (WFC) Kicks the Can by Transofrming Op...
- Potential Fly in Bull Ointment: Early Stage Head a...
- Bookkeeping: Making Some Long Purchases
- Bookkeeping: Adding Some Index Longs on Morning Pu...
- Official Unemployment Rate Hits 10.2%; Reality is ...
- #1 Article on UK Telegraph Website: No Respect, No...
- Blue Coat Systems (BCSI) - More Global Labor Arbit...
- Yet Another "V" Shaped Bounce- Old Patterns Seem U...
- Fannie Mae's New Deed for Lease Program - Rent you...
- Bookkeeping: Closing Myriad Genetics (MYGN) as Ear...
- Groundhog Day - is it Wednesday or Thursday?
- Fuel Systems Solutions (FSYS) Rockets Over 20% on ...
- General Updates: Mutual Fund, Website, Misc.
- Whitney Tilson T2 Partners October 2009 Investor L...
- Bookkeeping: Selling a Third of Silver (SLV) Posit...
- Still Many Broken Charts Despite the Index Rallies...
- Market Jumps Back over 50 Day Moving Average as In...
- Goldman Sachs (GS) Q3 Winning Percentage: 98.4%
- STEC (STEC) Crashes 30% on EMC (EMC) Inventory War...
- Nouriel Roubini on CNBC: "Mother of all Carry Trad...
- Showdown at the Federal Reserve Corral
- Nearly 600,000 Americans Walked Away from their Mo...
- Apple's (AAPL) iPhone Only Sells 5000 Units in 1st...
- Bookkeeping: Buying Long Term Downside Protection ...
- Ugly Premarket Action
- International Monetary Fund to Sell One Eighth of ...
- Warren Buffet's Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) to Acqu...
- Lack of Green Energy Manufacturing Capability in U...
- Good News Sold, S&P Turned Back at 50 Day Moving A...
- NYT: Are Chinese Video Game Makers a Threat to Wes...
- The Market with no Memory from Day to Day
- Conseco (CNO) - A Chance to Follow John Paulson wi...
- Bookkeeping: Weekly Changes to Fund Positions Year...
- First Time Home Buyers and Investors Dominate the ...
- Updated Position Sheet
- Bookkeeping: Bought BHP Billiton (BHP)
- ► 10/25 - 11/01(48)
- ► 10/18 - 10/25(37)
- ► 10/11 - 10/18(40)
- ► 10/04 - 10/11(35)
- ► 09/27 - 10/04(41)
- ► 09/20 - 09/27(39)
- ► 09/13 - 09/20(35)
- ► 09/06 - 09/13(32)
- ► 08/30 - 09/06(32)
- ► 08/23 - 08/30(34)
- ► 08/16 - 08/23(36)
- ► 08/09 - 08/16(39)
- ► 08/02 - 08/09(40)
- ► 07/26 - 08/02(45)
- ► 07/19 - 07/26(45)
- ► 07/12 - 07/19(45)
- ► 07/05 - 07/12(40)
- ► 06/28 - 07/05(31)
- ► 06/21 - 06/28(37)
- ► 06/14 - 06/21(44)
- ► 06/07 - 06/14(42)
- ► 05/31 - 06/07(44)
- ► 05/24 - 05/31(39)
- ► 05/17 - 05/24(33)
- ► 05/10 - 05/17(39)
- ► 05/03 - 05/10(47)
- ► 04/26 - 05/03(45)
- ► 04/19 - 04/26(43)
- ► 04/12 - 04/19(40)
- ► 04/05 - 04/12(40)
- ► 03/29 - 04/05(40)
- ► 03/22 - 03/29(45)
- ► 03/15 - 03/22(45)
- ► 03/08 - 03/15(46)
- ► 03/01 - 03/08(49)
- ► 02/22 - 03/01(49)
- ► 02/15 - 02/22(45)
- ► 02/08 - 02/15(49)
- ► 02/01 - 02/08(49)
- ► 01/25 - 02/01(49)
- ► 01/18 - 01/25(38)
- ► 01/11 - 01/18(53)
- ► 01/04 - 01/11(52)
-
►
11/08 - 11/15(10)
-
▼
2008(2199)
- ► 12/28 - 01/04(27)
- ► 12/21 - 12/28(25)
- ► 12/14 - 12/21(41)
- ► 12/07 - 12/14(39)
- ► 11/30 - 12/07(34)
- ► 11/23 - 11/30(31)
- ► 11/16 - 11/23(33)
- ► 11/09 - 11/16(33)
- ► 11/02 - 11/09(33)
- ► 10/26 - 11/02(43)
- ► 10/19 - 10/26(35)
- ► 10/12 - 10/19(34)
- ► 10/05 - 10/12(38)
- ► 09/28 - 10/05(40)
- ► 09/21 - 09/28(46)
- ► 09/14 - 09/21(52)
- ► 09/07 - 09/14(49)
- ► 08/31 - 09/07(36)
- ► 08/24 - 08/31(43)
- ► 08/17 - 08/24(48)
- ► 08/10 - 08/17(50)
- ► 08/03 - 08/10(46)
- ► 07/27 - 08/03(46)
- ► 07/20 - 07/27(49)
-
▼
07/13 - 07/20(48)
- The United Kingdom of Subprime follows us into the...
- 95 Stocks Returning 12%+ this Week
- Mechel (MTL) Profits Appear to be Coming Under Scr...
- Bookkeeping: 'Rising Tide' Performance Week 50
- Wilbur Ross Believes M&A Activity in Coal Will be ...
- Bookkeeping: Restarting Kinross Gold (KGC) Positio...
- Bookkeeping: Layering Out of some Mercadolibre (ME...
- Bookkeeping: Closing Both Indian Banks
- Mechel (MTL) Stock Still in World of Hurt
- Did I Mention Healthcare is Safe? Gilead Sciences...
- High Drama at the Cleveland Cliffs (CLF) Corral
- The Google (GOOG) Gap
- Reader Investment Pledges mid July Update
- Bookkeeping: A Few Energy Purchases
- Blackrock (BLK) Earnings Excellent as Usual; Merri...
- Always a Silver Lining - US Stock Market Outperfor...
- The Death of Natural Gas?
- Bookkeeping: Doubling Stake in Vale (RIO)
- Bookkeeping: Selling Down some Homebuilder Exposur...
- Canpotex to Sell Potash @ $1000/Ton and Silvinet S...
- Massive Earnings Thursday
- Wells Fargo (WFC) Impresses Me
- Bookkeeping: LDK Solar (LDK) v Alpha Natural Resou...
- Bookkeeping: More Nat Gas Buys
- Bookkeeping: New Stake in Natural Gas player Goodr...
- Bookeeping: Out Homex (HXM) In Cleveland Cliffs (C...
- Thoughts on Cleveland Cliffs (CLF), Alpha Natural ...
- WSJ: The History of Bailouts
- Jim Bunning Joins my Hall of Congressional Heroes
- Bill Ackman Offers a Solution to the Fannie/Freddi...
- Bookkeeping: Transactions
- Do You Trust this Reversal?
- Might Have to Start Taking Evergreen Solar (ESLR) ...
- Mosaic (MOS) Sells Nitrogen Plant to Yara Internat...
- Warburg Pincus Takes 5%+ Stake in WuXi PharmaTech ...
- That's More Like It
- Bookkeeping: Closing Core Laboratories (CLB)
- Mechel (MTL) P/E Ratio 9 for 100% Income Growth
- Our Gospel is Spreading - Jim Cramer References "T...
- Reviewing December 2007's Roadmap & Views
- Regional Banks Crushed
- Canadian Solar (CSIQ) Raises Guidance - Stock up 1...
- A-Power Energy Generation (APWR) Hot and Heavy wit...
- P/E Ratio by Position mid July Update
- 7/1/2008- Peter Schiff v Brian Wesbury
- Bookkeeping: Weekly Changes to Fund Positions Week...
- And Here We Go....
- Earnings Preview Monday - Wednesday
- ► 07/06 - 07/13(52)
- ► 06/29 - 07/06(42)
- ► 06/22 - 06/29(47)
- ► 06/15 - 06/22(41)
- ► 06/08 - 06/15(39)
- ► 06/01 - 06/08(36)
- ► 05/25 - 06/01(30)
- ► 05/18 - 05/25(39)
- ► 05/11 - 05/18(40)
- ► 05/04 - 05/11(41)
- ► 04/27 - 05/04(48)
- ► 04/20 - 04/27(44)
- ► 04/13 - 04/20(48)
- ► 04/06 - 04/13(41)
- ► 03/30 - 04/06(54)
- ► 03/23 - 03/30(41)
- ► 03/16 - 03/23(47)
- ► 03/09 - 03/16(32)
- ► 03/02 - 03/09(44)
- ► 02/24 - 03/02(54)
- ► 02/17 - 02/24(40)
- ► 02/10 - 02/17(57)
- ► 02/03 - 02/10(57)
- ► 01/27 - 02/03(49)
- ► 01/20 - 01/27(48)
- ► 01/13 - 01/20(46)
- ► 01/06 - 01/13(43)
-
►
2007(913)
- ► 12/30 - 01/06(33)
- ► 12/23 - 12/30(29)
- ► 12/16 - 12/23(39)
- ► 12/09 - 12/16(36)
- ► 12/02 - 12/09(33)
- ► 11/25 - 12/02(44)
- ► 11/18 - 11/25(25)
- ► 11/11 - 11/18(44)
- ► 11/04 - 11/11(54)
- ► 10/28 - 11/04(51)
- ► 10/21 - 10/28(57)
- ► 10/14 - 10/21(55)
- ► 10/07 - 10/14(57)
- ► 09/30 - 10/07(55)
- ► 09/23 - 09/30(41)
- ► 09/16 - 09/23(41)
- ► 09/09 - 09/16(37)
- ► 09/02 - 09/09(31)
- ► 08/26 - 09/02(44)
- ► 08/19 - 08/26(43)
- ► 08/12 - 08/19(37)
- ► 08/05 - 08/12(27)









4 comments:
Is Meena Polar going to get its name back?
No
They need to put 2 quarters back to back without reinventing the wheel and figuring out new ways to destroy shareholders money.
Then I'll upgrade it to its real name.
TM,
Wondering why you wouldnt buy ANR on this news, if you like CLF. There is a huge arbitrage opportunity here assuming the deal gets done.
If the deal does does done, you get to own CLF, at a much lower cost basis and if there is a counter bid, then you benefit from that.
Just a thought.
Harsh
Harsh,
You are correct. I already have a sizeable stake in ANR but if I were coming to the trade today I'd be buying 100% ANR and 0% CLF based on the spread here.
The spread has also widened since I wrote the piece first thing in the morning. As ANR retreats its becoming the more attractive play
At ANR $104 vs $100 CLF, you go ANR no brainer
I believe when I wrote it, it was $118 ANR vs $98 CLF (still preferable to buy ANR at that point I understand from arbitrage)
Now, a no brainer.
Post a Comment