People often email me "wouldn't it be better just to buy and hold, since your stock picks are solid, and they just usually go up over time?" I have to remind them, that they are focusing on the winners and not the losers. (of which I have more than my share) Kinross Gold (KGC) is a great example where trading around a core position and taking out profits when offered saved me. (one of many examples). So yes, I sometimes leave money on the table on the "big winners" but I remain consistent in approach and this approach has locked in profits(or much smaller losses) on my "losers", for example, I have a small profit in KGC despite the chart below. So I am closing my 1.1% stake in Kinross Gold (KGC) with just under a $1000 profit, selling at $19.75

Not so fortunate with my silver holding, Silver Wheaton (SLW) which despite some trading and profit taking I still exited with a $1200 loss. Considering the chart, that's a small miracle. I am selling the last of my Silver Wheaton (0.3% stake) in the $13.70s. Net net, these 2 positions essentially cancelled each other out.

Again, I want to reiterate these are not typical sales - i.e. specific to the stocks. (I actually like the KGC chart in fact) This is more of a strategy call. I am simply at the point where I want to become more concentrated and narrow the # of holdings, as it is starting to get bloated and if I'm going to focus on commodity exposure, I am going to stick with subsectors which I have pricing visibility - so why take the tougher road, when the easier road is offered? When the dollar is "strong" all of these sectors sell off (incorrectly) but when "weak", I know which ones will rally based on what I foresee a year out - I can't say the same for gold / silver (although I do believe the flooding of world with Western currencies will continue to help these precious metals as well).
I am looking for other things to sell as well, to continue to narrow my focus.
No positions








5 comments:
To bring closure to my Thursday KHD notice, this might have been the reason:
http://tinyurl.com/5f3l22
About 11% of this years projected bookings, in a sector that the CEO emphasized at the last ER.
Thanks for the update. I didnt like the reversal Friday but today it looks very good.
I now grant you my research assistant covering KHD. Keep me informed - I think this is an undiscovered gem.
WooHoo!
A step towards being on your staff when the Fund goes up.
Easy now. Keep in mind you are now at the same level as 10 hamsters. It's all relative!
I will have to ship out a human sized hamster wheel for you to run when you screw up your analysis. I'm a slave driver, just ask the hamsters. haha
Missing Eric Bolling?
He has joined thestreet.com. here is the first article.
http://tinyurl.com/5zyqwu
Long TSO and CVX?? hmm..have to think and time for some DD.
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