Well the oddsmakers from a few rounds ago were correct - it's all come down to this: Apple v Potash.
Scouting report:
Apple coming off a trouncing of Johnson & Johnson, is the ultimate consumer convergence play - style, cache, a relentless head coach who bends the rules but is the visionary back from exile, and legions of die hard fans that will travel across the country to support their team. They've transformed themselves from a pure play computer maker to a digital age entertainment company. Always 3 steps ahead of the competition. Their guards, iPhone and iPod get all the glory but their bread and butter center, Macs (think Tim Duncan), are the real story here - fundamentally strong, quiet, efficient, effective. How can you beat them? You must ignore the international story and hope the US consumer is felled to such a degree they give up their electronic fashion statements... first goes Abercrombie jeans, then go Apple products goes the story.
Potash, took out the venerable Warren B in the semifinal game.... after being mired in the also ran fertilizer league for years, this now powerhouse conference sent Canadian country boy Potash to the tournament (over objections by tournament director who preferred Mosaic). Ridiculous price increases without relent have propelled this name to higher highs by the quarter. Pricing power, margin expansion, and the ability to bring new product on line in the long run are it's strengths. Led by a trio of guards - curly haired Potash gets all the press, but Phosphates has grown 6" over the summer and this 6'9" player now plays "Small forward" and has been the center of strength of late; and don't forget the supporting role of Nitrogen. How can you beat them? Worldwide famine and outrage at Western country policies of "fuel instead of food" initiatives could cause a change in ethanol policy/subsidies in latter 2008 or 2009. While this would be more of a perception problem than a reality check - all that matters to investors minds is perception.
Game On!
Tuesday, April 15, 2008
Fund my Mutual Fund Stock Invitational - Championship Game
Posted by
TraderMark
at
12:38 PM
TweetThis
TweetThis
Posted by
TraderMark
at
12:38 PM
Fund my Mutual Fund Stock Invitational - Championship Game
2008-04-15T12:38:00-04:00
TraderMark
| Edit This Post |
Create A New Post
Fund my Mutual Fund Stock Invitational - Championship Game
2008-04-15T12:38:00-04:00
TraderMark
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
Most Visited Sites
Sites I Wish I Had More Time To Read
- Newsflashr
- FinViz.com
- Zero Hedge
- Wall St Cheet Sheat
- Naked Capitalism
- Baseline Scenario
- Abnormal Returns
- TickerSpy
- Financial Armageddon
- Infectious Greed
- FT.com Alphaville.com
- 24/7 Wall Street
- The Daily Bail
- Matt Taibbi Blog
- Calculated Risk
- NYMag
- Real Clear Markets
- All About Trends
- Carpe Diem
- What's Trading
- Finz.tv
- Zentrader
- The Financial Ninja
- Daily Options Report
- Markman
- Notable Calls
- UpsideTrader
- The Smart Money Tracker
- Stock Trading to Go
- Nouriel Roubini's Blog
- Dealbreaker
- Investment Postcards
- Toro's Running of the Bulls
- Barron's Tech Trader Daily
- Market Oracle
- StraightStocks
- FINAlternatives (Hedge Funds)
- Money and Markets
- The Market Speculator
- Contrarian Profits
- Wall Street Blips
- Wall$treet Fighter
- StreetInsider Analysts News
- Blogging Stocks (AOL)
- The Daily Reckoning
- 1440 Wall Street
- HedgeFolios
- ETF Trends
- Hedge Fund Consultant Blog
- Daily Options Report
- Get Rich Slick
- Wall $treet Folly
- Guru Focus
- Fundmastery
- The Fly on the Wall
- Bill Gross PIMCO Archives
- MrSwing.com
Industry Focus Sites
- Forex Trading
- US Debt Clock
- Bloomberg Bond Yields
- List of ADRs by Country
- Mr. Copper (Kitco)
- Gas Price by State
- Mortgage Trends
- Debt Maturations
- Form 4 Oracle - Insider Filings
- Chinese Stocks
- Greentech Media
- gnuTrade
- MineWeb
- SPDR ETFs Chart
- Coal Future Pricing - Europe
- Coal Pricing - US
- Baltic Exchange Dry Index
- Solar Feeds
- The Housing Bubble
- HousingPANIC
- BusinessofVideo.com (CDNs)
Some Mutual Funds That Perk My Interest
- CGM Mutual (Kenneth Heebner)
- CGM Focus (Kenneth Heebner)
- Quaker Strategic Growth
- Loomis Sayles Mid Cap Growth
- Bridgeway Aggressive Investors
- Eaton Vance Multi Cap Growth
- Saratoga Large Cap Growth
- AFBA Five Star Large Cap
- American Century Vista
- American Century Heritage
- TCW Growth Equities
- Dynamic Power American Growth (Noah Blackstein)
- Dover Long/Short Sector Fund
Weekly Most Read
- 1; Goldman Sachs Q3 Winning Percentage: 98.4%
- 2: Warren Buffet's Berkshire Hathaway to Acquire Burlington Northern; Split Shares
- 3: STEC Crashes 30% on EMC Inventory Warning
- 4: Las Vegas Sands Earnings "Ok" but CEO Talk Supports Stock
- 5: Barron's - a Scare that can Last Beyond Halloween
- 6: Nearly 600,000 Americans Walked Away from their Mortgage in 2008
- 7: Paul Tudor Jones Q3 Investor Letter - Another Gold Bug
- 8: Nouriel Roubini CNBC: "Mother of all Carry Trades"
- 9: Potential Fly in Bull's Ointment - Early Stage Head and Shoulders Formation
Archives By Date
-
►
2009(1851)
-
►
11/08 - 11/15(17)
- Fluor (FLR) Guides Down for the Year, Investors Di...
- Bookkeeping: Short E-House Holdings (EJ)
- Bookkeeping: Selling All of Friday's Index Long Ex...
- Walmart (WMT) Executive: "There are Families Not E...
- Looking at the Market Indexes; "Double Top Breakou...
- Albert Edwards of Societe Generale Remains Firmly ...
- Priceline.com (PCLN) Hits an Earnings Home Run
- Fund Performance Period 11
- Bookkeeping: Selling Another 1/4th of Original SPY...
- Las Vegas Sands (LVS) Sets Hong Kong Macau IPO Ran...
- Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (RDY) Impressive on Both ...
- Bookkeeping: Adding to Discover Financial (DFS)
- Bookkeeping: Covering Costco (COST) Short
- Bookkeeping: Selling Half SPY Calls Purchased Frid...
- Bookkeeping: Weekly Changes to Fund Positions Year...
- Updated Position Sheet
- Barry Ritholtz Shreds Warren Buffet
-
►
11/01 - 11/08(38)
- In Case You Missed It - the Week's Most Popular Po...
- Blackstone Group (BX) Continues its Recovery; Beat...
- Wells Fargo (WFC) Kicks the Can by Transofrming Op...
- Potential Fly in Bull Ointment: Early Stage Head a...
- Bookkeeping: Making Some Long Purchases
- Bookkeeping: Adding Some Index Longs on Morning Pu...
- Official Unemployment Rate Hits 10.2%; Reality is ...
- #1 Article on UK Telegraph Website: No Respect, No...
- Blue Coat Systems (BCSI) - More Global Labor Arbit...
- Yet Another "V" Shaped Bounce- Old Patterns Seem U...
- Fannie Mae's New Deed for Lease Program - Rent you...
- Bookkeeping: Closing Myriad Genetics (MYGN) as Ear...
- Groundhog Day - is it Wednesday or Thursday?
- Fuel Systems Solutions (FSYS) Rockets Over 20% on ...
- General Updates: Mutual Fund, Website, Misc.
- Whitney Tilson T2 Partners October 2009 Investor L...
- Bookkeeping: Selling a Third of Silver (SLV) Posit...
- Still Many Broken Charts Despite the Index Rallies...
- Market Jumps Back over 50 Day Moving Average as In...
- Goldman Sachs (GS) Q3 Winning Percentage: 98.4%
- STEC (STEC) Crashes 30% on EMC (EMC) Inventory War...
- Nouriel Roubini on CNBC: "Mother of all Carry Trad...
- Showdown at the Federal Reserve Corral
- Nearly 600,000 Americans Walked Away from their Mo...
- Apple's (AAPL) iPhone Only Sells 5000 Units in 1st...
- Bookkeeping: Buying Long Term Downside Protection ...
- Ugly Premarket Action
- International Monetary Fund to Sell One Eighth of ...
- Warren Buffet's Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) to Acqu...
- Lack of Green Energy Manufacturing Capability in U...
- Good News Sold, S&P Turned Back at 50 Day Moving A...
- NYT: Are Chinese Video Game Makers a Threat to Wes...
- The Market with no Memory from Day to Day
- ► 10/25 - 11/01(48)
- ► 10/18 - 10/25(37)
- ► 10/11 - 10/18(40)
- ► 10/04 - 10/11(35)
- ► 09/27 - 10/04(41)
- ► 09/20 - 09/27(39)
- ► 09/13 - 09/20(35)
- ► 09/06 - 09/13(32)
- ► 08/30 - 09/06(32)
- ► 08/23 - 08/30(34)
- ► 08/16 - 08/23(36)
- ► 08/09 - 08/16(39)
- ► 08/02 - 08/09(40)
- ► 07/26 - 08/02(45)
- ► 07/19 - 07/26(45)
- ► 07/12 - 07/19(45)
- ► 07/05 - 07/12(40)
- ► 06/28 - 07/05(31)
- ► 06/21 - 06/28(37)
- ► 06/14 - 06/21(44)
- ► 06/07 - 06/14(42)
- ► 05/31 - 06/07(44)
- ► 05/24 - 05/31(39)
- ► 05/17 - 05/24(33)
- ► 05/10 - 05/17(39)
- ► 05/03 - 05/10(47)
- ► 04/26 - 05/03(45)
- ► 04/19 - 04/26(43)
- ► 04/12 - 04/19(40)
- ► 04/05 - 04/12(40)
- ► 03/29 - 04/05(40)
- ► 03/22 - 03/29(45)
- ► 03/15 - 03/22(45)
- ► 03/08 - 03/15(46)
- ► 03/01 - 03/08(49)
- ► 02/22 - 03/01(49)
- ► 02/15 - 02/22(45)
- ► 02/08 - 02/15(49)
- ► 02/01 - 02/08(49)
- ► 01/25 - 02/01(49)
- ► 01/18 - 01/25(38)
- ► 01/11 - 01/18(53)
- ► 01/04 - 01/11(52)
-
►
11/08 - 11/15(17)
-
▼
2008(2199)
- ► 12/28 - 01/04(27)
- ► 12/21 - 12/28(25)
- ► 12/14 - 12/21(41)
- ► 12/07 - 12/14(39)
- ► 11/30 - 12/07(34)
- ► 11/23 - 11/30(31)
- ► 11/16 - 11/23(33)
- ► 11/09 - 11/16(33)
- ► 11/02 - 11/09(33)
- ► 10/26 - 11/02(43)
- ► 10/19 - 10/26(35)
- ► 10/12 - 10/19(34)
- ► 10/05 - 10/12(38)
- ► 09/28 - 10/05(40)
- ► 09/21 - 09/28(46)
- ► 09/14 - 09/21(52)
- ► 09/07 - 09/14(49)
- ► 08/31 - 09/07(36)
- ► 08/24 - 08/31(43)
- ► 08/17 - 08/24(48)
- ► 08/10 - 08/17(50)
- ► 08/03 - 08/10(46)
- ► 07/27 - 08/03(46)
- ► 07/20 - 07/27(49)
- ► 07/13 - 07/20(48)
- ► 07/06 - 07/13(52)
- ► 06/29 - 07/06(42)
- ► 06/22 - 06/29(47)
- ► 06/15 - 06/22(41)
- ► 06/08 - 06/15(39)
- ► 06/01 - 06/08(36)
- ► 05/25 - 06/01(30)
- ► 05/18 - 05/25(39)
- ► 05/11 - 05/18(40)
- ► 05/04 - 05/11(41)
- ► 04/27 - 05/04(48)
- ► 04/20 - 04/27(44)
-
▼
04/13 - 04/20(48)
- AP: Dollar's Plunge Becoming Lynchpin in Q1 Earnin...
- Earnings Mon-Tue
- Rice Continues to Explode Higher
- Bookkeeping: 'Rising Tide' Performance Week 37
- Bookkeeping: Continuing to Sell Down Baidu.com (BI...
- A Great Post from Rev Shark over at Realmoney.com
- S&P 500 Potential Break Out ; Infrastructure Movin...
- You Thought VISA (V) was the Hottest IPO of 2008? ...
- Bookkeeping: I Have Too Much Cash Trades
- Bookkeeping: Restarting Cummins Engine (CMI) as Re...
- Bookkeeping: 2 New Positions - Intuitive Surgical ...
- Fund Positions by Market Cap - Mid April Update
- Google (GOOG) Beats; Shares Up 10%+
- The World's Best Oil Investor Thinks Oil Goes High...
- Contract Research Organizations Weak Again
- Bookkeeping: Reducing Baidu.com (BIDU), Mercadolib...
- Let's Review Some Earnings, and Add some Truth to ...
- Infrastructure Stocks Still Not Understood or Appr...
- Four New Agriculture ETN's
- Bookkeeping: Adding to LDK Solar (LDK)
- Reader Investment Pledges mid April Update
- Wells Fargo, Goldman Strategists Agree With Me
- Some Economic/Political Thoughts of the Day
- Potash - We are the champions
- New Oriental Education (EDU) Beats - Guides Down -...
- Bookkeeping: Taking some Fertilizer Profits
- Google (GOOG) Not Participating in Today's Kool Ai...
- Blackrock (BLK) Quarter Solid but a Bit of a Miss
- A One Stop Shop for Solar - Get TAN
- Chinese Agree to $576 Price Point for Potash
- CSX (CSX) Benefiting from Grains, Ethanol, and Exp...
- Earnings Wed - Fri
- Fund my Mutual Fund Stock Invitational - Champions...
- Bookkeeping: Taking Profits in the Energy Patch
- Could the USA Lose it's Triple A Rating?
- Affymetrix (AFFX) Blows Up on Warning
- Bookkeeping: Locking in Trina Solar (TSL) Gains
- WSJ: Factories Fading, Hospital Step In
- Holy (Holey?) Crocs (CROX) !!
- My Plan with Trina Solar (TSL)
- Petrobras (PBR) Just Went Vertical
- Fund my Mutual Fund Stock Invitational - Final Fou...
- Keeping an Eye on.. Parexel International (PRXL)
- WSJ: Food Inflation, Riots Spark Worries for World...
- Trina Solar (TSL) Drops Plans for Polysilicon Plan...
- Earnings Monday - Tuesday
- Unintended Consequences of the Coming Socializatio...
- Bookkeeping: Weekly Changes to Fund Positions Week...
- ► 04/06 - 04/13(41)
- ► 03/30 - 04/06(54)
- ► 03/23 - 03/30(41)
- ► 03/16 - 03/23(47)
- ► 03/09 - 03/16(32)
- ► 03/02 - 03/09(44)
- ► 02/24 - 03/02(54)
- ► 02/17 - 02/24(40)
- ► 02/10 - 02/17(57)
- ► 02/03 - 02/10(57)
- ► 01/27 - 02/03(49)
- ► 01/20 - 01/27(48)
- ► 01/13 - 01/20(46)
- ► 01/06 - 01/13(43)
-
►
2007(913)
- ► 12/30 - 01/06(33)
- ► 12/23 - 12/30(29)
- ► 12/16 - 12/23(39)
- ► 12/09 - 12/16(36)
- ► 12/02 - 12/09(33)
- ► 11/25 - 12/02(44)
- ► 11/18 - 11/25(25)
- ► 11/11 - 11/18(44)
- ► 11/04 - 11/11(54)
- ► 10/28 - 11/04(51)
- ► 10/21 - 10/28(57)
- ► 10/14 - 10/21(55)
- ► 10/07 - 10/14(57)
- ► 09/30 - 10/07(55)
- ► 09/23 - 09/30(41)
- ► 09/16 - 09/23(41)
- ► 09/09 - 09/16(37)
- ► 09/02 - 09/09(31)
- ► 08/26 - 09/02(44)
- ► 08/19 - 08/26(43)
- ► 08/12 - 08/19(37)
- ► 08/05 - 08/12(27)








