Malthusian thought of the day; 7 million net new humans are being added to the Earth every month. Or put another way; the entire population of the US is added every 4 years.
Stocks I'm watching this week, I don't see any huge multinational names out there early in the week.
Monday
CNOOC (CEO) and China Petroleum & Chemical (SNP) - 2 Chinese "oil" stocks
Compass Minerals (CMP) - this "salt" stock is simply relentless - mentioned here [Mar 3: Who Knew? Salt?]
Covance (CVD) - yet another of the contract research outsource outfits.
Flowserve (FLS) - we have a dearth of ways to play for the ultimate natural resource - fresh water. This is a corollary way.
FMC Technologies (FTI) - former fund holding in oil services
Fund holding Mastercard (MA) - one of my favorite business models - I am praying for the day they miss, and the stock will sell off 30%.
Fund holding Silver Wheaton (SLW) - I've pulled back sharply on this name; they have seemed to detach as an inflation hedge the past 3 weeks or so.
Fund holding Sohu.Com (SOHU) - I don't own enough of this Chinese rocket ship; talk about a technical breakout
Texas Roadhouse (TXRH) - only because I am curious about the prices of meat, and their projections
Tyson Foods (TSN) - big chicken seller in the US; been watching this since late summer as a proxy on prices/inflation
Visa (V) - you could of picked any day to report, and you conveniently have to report exactly the same day as your arch rival. Nice.
Tuesday
Agco (AG) - former fund holding in agricultural equipment - their sales should be booming especially with the US peso.
Buffalo Wild Wings (BWLD) - chicken inflation! Coming soon.
Burlington Northern Santa Fe (BNI) - railroad. Ships ethanol, fertilizer, coal. Ships stuff from China to Walmart so desperate Americans can buy it. 'nuff said.
Deutsche Bank (DB) - some say the Europeans are hiding their losses more than the Americans...
Domino's (DPZ) - let's see cheese inflation, wheat inflation, and coming soon ham and pepperoni inflation. Ouch. Maybe they can pull off a "not as bad as we expected" and the stock can bounce 25% instantly. Where it will make a great short.
Express Scripts (ESRX) - still like this space; chart says boom boom good.
General Cable (BGC) - former fund holding; a stealth play on global infrastructure build out
ICON (ICLR) - the Irish version of contract research organization
MedcoHealth Solutions (MHS) - former fund holding; see ESRX above - has exploded up in past week on re-up of deal with UNH which was a huge overhang on the stock.
Panera Bread (PNRA) - the casual dining stock has been partying on either (a) the drop in wheat prices of late or (b) the giddiness about rebate checks; either way it's actually having a heck of a breakout
Patriot Coal (PCX) - then Peabody Energy spun off this asset, I was given shares and sold them off. Oops.
Titan International (TWI) - they make the huge tires for all the huge vehicles moving in mines and farms across the globe. So a backdoor play on globalization that a reader pointed out to me. The chart is a beauty.
Under Armour (UA) - I constantly want to buy this name. The chart never says yes.
United States Steel Corp (X) - former fund holding... should not of sold :)
Valero Energy (VLO) - this one has handed a lot of longs a lot of losses this year. Everyone whose been around the market has been awaiting the traditional late winter/early spring rally that this group almost always provides. But the US providers are in sort of a pickle - global pressures PLUS dollar trashing is increasing crude prices (their input) whereas somewhat weak gasoline demand is hurting their ability to raise prices. Why gasoline is not $4.50 or so at these prices of crude, is beyond me. These names might finally rally if we get a reversal in crude from say $120 to $100.
Monday, April 28, 2008
Earnings Preview Monday-Tuesday
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TraderMark
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12:26 AM
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2 comments:
Mark,
Do you think that chicken prices will go up? How do you think this will effect stocks such as BWLD and TSN?
BWLD - negative due to rising input costs
TSN - you could argue this as a pro, con or neutral
It all depends on degree; they can now sell their product at higher prices, but they still have high input costs and they risk potential demand destruction as people move away from meats altogether as they can no longer afford them and/or cut them back from say 2x a week to 1x a week, or 1x a week to 2x a month.
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