Friday, April 18, 2008

Bookkeeping: Continuing to Sell Down Baidu.com (BIDU) and Mercadolibre (MELI)

TweetThis
Parabolic charts make me nervous. I realize these names are hot, but I am going to continue to sell down, just like I have done with the commodity stocks I like, as the charts go at nearly 90 degree angle upwards. There will be a sell off in all these names going ballistic; the question is when and from what price point. I'll let other people chase these up, and buy when the last ones on the ship start panic selling.

I cut both these yesterday worried about an adverse Google (GOOG) reaction (wrong! but at least you see the thought process) [Apr 17: Reducing Baidu.com, Mercadolibre Ahead of Google Earnings], and am taking out another layer from both, to sub 0.5% stakes. No change to fundamentals of course - the froth level is starting to set off my radar. We are now reaching level alert Orange on froth...

Baidu.com is up nearly 9% to mid $330s, MELI is up nearly 6% to near $53. They've come a long way in a short time.

For those of you who follow options; and speaking of speculation ....if you wanted a lottery ticket you could of bought Apr 500 calls yesterday for 55 cents... if you bought 100 calls that would cost you $5500

At today's price of $543 for GOOG, you would have $430,000. Not bad work for 24 hours. :) Now that's a bet on black!

Long Baidu.com, Mercadolibre in fund; no personal position but wish I was smart enough to buy 100 April GOOG 500 calls yesterday at 3:50 PM.

2 comments:

Risk Manager Jeff said...

"if you wanted a lottery ticket you could of bought Apr 500 calls yesterday for 55 cents... if you bought 100 calls that would cost you $5500"

hmmm.. now THAT would be an intersting poll.. every earnings season, pick a momentum stock that reports on options expiration, and have a poll to buy 10% OTM options.

Bluedog said...

The GOOG options would have been insane. I had a similar setup in NMX which was a merger play, only it failed to meet the $110 price as previously negotiated. If it had it would have netted significant gain via options. Oh well...

I took a little SLB and MELI off the table today. Funny how much SLB rocketed up despite missing earnings.

-BD

Post a Comment

Disclaimer: The opinions listed on this blog are for educational purpose only. You should do your own research before making any decisions.
This blog, its affiliates, partners or authors are not responsible or liable for any misstatements and/or losses you might sustain from the content provided.


Site by codeeo
Original WP Premium theme by WP Remix