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Friday, March 14, 2008

Bookkeeping: Taking Profits in LDK Solar (LDK)

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I am culling most of my LDK Solar (LDK) position as the stock is ramping (I assume on short covering) another 12% today, following yesterday's 20% move. [LDK Solar Up 17% on Multiple Announcements] I do believe when these solar stocks, which have beaten to a pulp, finally come back into favor we will see some huge (50%-80%) type of moves in some names, but I am not clear off what level (could be lower from here). LDK Solar has just put in a move of 40% so I am not going to look a gift horse in the mouth, even if this is part of a larger move upward. Even with this move, this stock is one of the biggest losers for the fund since inception - even after this large short term gain the stock is right back to where it was a few weeks ago.

This market is simply too fragile and I cannot get a handle on things right now - with an implicit government bailout of any financial institution, it is simply not an environment anyone has traded before, so being in uncharted water I am moving to a lot more cash as the afternoon rolls on, until some sort of trend is borne out. Longs could be crushed at any moment; as could shorts. Simply a dangerous environment once free markets are tossed aside and intervention is afoot.

I am selling 80% of my LDK Solar in the $28s, 400 of 500 shares, with the last batch in the $28s. This drops my 1% allocation to a 0.2% allocation.

Long LDK Solar in fund; no personal position


2 comments:

geckojb said...

I thought the resistance line for LDK would hold but didn't. Good thing I did not short it.

TraderMark said...

Solars are scary to short. They can go up 30% in a day. That said, they've been in a multi month downswing but I'd still fear it changing at any moment. Why short a solar when you have lovely retailers, restauraunts, and financials dying on the vine :)

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