I am beginning two mining positions, based on strength in metals, specifically iron ore. I've been patiently awaiting pullbacks in both names - one has hit my initial target and the other has not fully, so I am weighting these differently.
First, I am adding a full position here in CVRD (RIO), the Brazilian conglomerate.... we have seen great price increases in iron ore of late [CVRD Secures 65% Increase in Iron Ore Pricing], and I like the stability of iron because prices are on contract as opposed to spot pricing as with most metals. But CVRD is one of 3 global giants in mining, and the other 2 are engaged in a takeover battle, so this is the clean and easy choice. Technically, the stock has fallen from a recent high of $37.50 to its 50 day moving average just over $33; about a 11% correction. So I've bought a 700 share position here in the $33.40s for a 2.1% exposure for the fund. This won't be a lightning shot type of position, but should be a nice slow and steady stock that I can cut back on when it runs and add as it falls, during a sustained long term trend.
Second, I am adding Cleveland Cliffs (CLF) which is an American iron ore company with some coal exposure - I am shocked this company has not been bought out by now to be blunt. Since the stock has not fully fallen to any key support I only have done a starter position of 50 shares or 0.5% type of position in the $112s range. I was hoping to see $109 which is the 50 day moving average but that's just 2-3% away so I suppose I am being a bit picky; it is down from near $128 so a 12.5% correction. The reasoning is identical to CVRD, but the action in this stock is much more trader friendly in terms of volatile action. But this also makes it more prone to profit taking, hence why I did not build a larger position yet. I'd love to buy a large stake in the mid to upper $90s if possible.
In my 'World of Shortages' scenario the assets these companies own will only become more valuable over time. That said, they are heavily reliant on China to continue it's outsized building and use of steel especially - but at least with CVRD's case they mine many metals so this gives me broad exposure to other commodities as well.
Long both positions in fund; long neither in personal account
Friday, March 7, 2008
Bookkeeping: Starting 2 Mining Positions Emphasizing Iron Ore
Posted by
TraderMark
at
3:16 PM
TweetThis
TweetThis
Posted by
TraderMark
at
3:16 PM
Comments (3)
| Edit This Post |
Create A New Post
Labels: Cleveland Cliffs, CVRD
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
Most Visited Sites
Sites I Wish I Had More Time To Read
- Newsflashr
- FinViz.com
- Zero Hedge
- Wall St Cheet Sheat
- Naked Capitalism
- Baseline Scenario
- Abnormal Returns
- TickerSpy
- Financial Armageddon
- Infectious Greed
- FT.com Alphaville.com
- 24/7 Wall Street
- The Daily Bail
- Matt Taibbi Blog
- Calculated Risk
- NYMag
- Real Clear Markets
- All About Trends
- Carpe Diem
- What's Trading
- Finz.tv
- Zentrader
- The Financial Ninja
- Daily Options Report
- Markman
- Notable Calls
- UpsideTrader
- The Smart Money Tracker
- Stock Trading to Go
- Nouriel Roubini's Blog
- Dealbreaker
- Investment Postcards
- Toro's Running of the Bulls
- Barron's Tech Trader Daily
- Market Oracle
- StraightStocks
- FINAlternatives (Hedge Funds)
- Money and Markets
- The Market Speculator
- Contrarian Profits
- Wall Street Blips
- Wall$treet Fighter
- StreetInsider Analysts News
- Blogging Stocks (AOL)
- The Daily Reckoning
- 1440 Wall Street
- HedgeFolios
- ETF Trends
- Hedge Fund Consultant Blog
- Daily Options Report
- Get Rich Slick
- Wall $treet Folly
- Guru Focus
- Fundmastery
- The Fly on the Wall
- Bill Gross PIMCO Archives
- MrSwing.com
Industry Focus Sites
- Forex Trading
- US Debt Clock
- Bloomberg Bond Yields
- List of ADRs by Country
- Mr. Copper (Kitco)
- Gas Price by State
- Mortgage Trends
- Debt Maturations
- Form 4 Oracle - Insider Filings
- Chinese Stocks
- Greentech Media
- gnuTrade
- MineWeb
- SPDR ETFs Chart
- Coal Future Pricing - Europe
- Coal Pricing - US
- Baltic Exchange Dry Index
- Solar Feeds
- The Housing Bubble
- HousingPANIC
- BusinessofVideo.com (CDNs)
Some Mutual Funds That Perk My Interest
- CGM Mutual (Kenneth Heebner)
- CGM Focus (Kenneth Heebner)
- Quaker Strategic Growth
- Loomis Sayles Mid Cap Growth
- Bridgeway Aggressive Investors
- Eaton Vance Multi Cap Growth
- Saratoga Large Cap Growth
- AFBA Five Star Large Cap
- American Century Vista
- American Century Heritage
- TCW Growth Equities
- Dynamic Power American Growth (Noah Blackstein)
- Dover Long/Short Sector Fund
Weekly Most Read
- 1: What the Heck is Going on During Mondays Lately?
- 2: PIMCO's Bill Gross December 2009 Letter - Risk of Bubbles Rises with Low Rates
- 3: Bloomberg - Investors Rushing to Alternative Mutual Funds
- 4: David Rosenberg Video: "US in a Form of Depression"
- 5: Tim Geithner Under Fire Videos
- 6: "Houston, We Have a (Russell 2000) Problem"
- 7: More Homes in US in Delinquency or Foreclosure, than for Sale
- 8: Fund Performance Period 11
Archives By Date
-
►
2009(1929)
-
►
11/22 - 11/29(23)
- Dubai Friday
- Have a Good Thanksgiving Readers
- India Potentially Considering Buying the Other Hal...
- Barry Ritholtz on Yahoo Tech Ticker November 09: A...
- America's Stealth Stimulus Plan: Allowing its Home...
- Japanese Stock Market Appears to Have Rolled Over
- Bookkeeping: Creating Starter Stake in Assured Gua...
- David Rosenberg Video: "US in a Form of Depression...
- EnerNOC (ENOC) - Hmmm?
- Stalled
- Bookkeeping: Partial Stop in Potash (POT) and Goin...
- Bookkeeping: Selling Off Much of CNinsure (CISG) P...
- Bookkeeping: Looking to Take Some Profits Today
- Bloomberg: Investors Rushing to Alternative Mutual...
- NYT: Wave of Debt Payments Facing US Government
- Bookkeeping: Beginning Stake in Smart Grid Company...
- The Most Controversial Issue in the World this Wee...
- Bookkeeping: Selling Index Calls as S&P Approaches...
- LDK Solar (LDK) Kicks off Speculation Week with a ...
- Bookkeeping: Weekly Changes to Fund Positions Year...
- Doctor Devi Shetty, India's Henry Ford of Heart Su...
- Updated Position Sheet
- Natural Gas Down 12% on the Month; True Indicator ...
-
►
11/15 - 11/22(34)
- What the Heck is Going on During Mondays Lately? A...
- NYT: With FHA Help, Easy Loans in Expensive Areas;...
- Bookkeeping: Cutting Back Perfect World (PWRD) on ...
- "Houston, We Have a (Russell 2000) Problem"
- Tim Geithner Under Fire (Videos)
- PIMCO's Bill Gross December 2009 Letter : Risk of ...
- Bookkeeping: Beginning Starter Stake in Ctrip.com ...
- More Homes in the US in Delinquency or Foreclosure...
- Bookkeeping: Selling Index Longs as S&P Breaks 110...
- John Paulson Set to Launch Gold (GLD) Hedge Fund
- Infectious Greed: Detroit v Rest of US in Unemploy...
- Toll Brothers (TOL) CEO: “Yesterday’s Subprime is ...
- Bookkeeping: Stopped Out of E-House Holdings (EJ) ...
- S&P 1100 Current Pivot Point
- Best Performing Stocks of the Decade: 1900% to 790...
- Minyanville.: Our Economy is on Steroids
- Freeport McMoran Copper & Gold (FCX) Potential Bre...
- Marc Faber: As Long as Ben Bernanke is Fed Chief, ...
- Still All Good for the Bulls - Quiet Consolidation...
- USA Today: China Pushes Solar, Wind Development
- Potash (POT) Could be on the Verge of a Breakout
- George Soros Reveals Stake in Ford (F), Adds to Wa...
- Bookkeeping: Rebuilding E-House Holdings (EJ) Posi...
- Dennis Gartman: Gold (GLD) is in a "Bubble" - Mere...
- Bookkeping: Stopped Out of E-House Holdings (EJ) S...
- It's Raining Silver (SLV)! Alleluiah!
- Interview with Andrew Horowitz of The Disciplined ...
- ► 11/08 - 11/15(38)
- ► 11/01 - 11/08(38)
- ► 10/25 - 11/01(48)
- ► 10/18 - 10/25(37)
- ► 10/11 - 10/18(40)
- ► 10/04 - 10/11(35)
- ► 09/27 - 10/04(41)
- ► 09/20 - 09/27(39)
- ► 09/13 - 09/20(35)
- ► 09/06 - 09/13(32)
- ► 08/30 - 09/06(32)
- ► 08/23 - 08/30(34)
- ► 08/16 - 08/23(36)
- ► 08/09 - 08/16(39)
- ► 08/02 - 08/09(40)
- ► 07/26 - 08/02(45)
- ► 07/19 - 07/26(45)
- ► 07/12 - 07/19(45)
- ► 07/05 - 07/12(40)
- ► 06/28 - 07/05(31)
- ► 06/21 - 06/28(37)
- ► 06/14 - 06/21(44)
- ► 06/07 - 06/14(42)
- ► 05/31 - 06/07(44)
- ► 05/24 - 05/31(39)
- ► 05/17 - 05/24(33)
- ► 05/10 - 05/17(39)
- ► 05/03 - 05/10(47)
- ► 04/26 - 05/03(45)
- ► 04/19 - 04/26(43)
- ► 04/12 - 04/19(40)
- ► 04/05 - 04/12(40)
- ► 03/29 - 04/05(40)
- ► 03/22 - 03/29(45)
- ► 03/15 - 03/22(45)
- ► 03/08 - 03/15(46)
- ► 03/01 - 03/08(49)
- ► 02/22 - 03/01(49)
- ► 02/15 - 02/22(45)
- ► 02/08 - 02/15(49)
- ► 02/01 - 02/08(49)
- ► 01/25 - 02/01(49)
- ► 01/18 - 01/25(38)
- ► 01/11 - 01/18(53)
- ► 01/04 - 01/11(52)
-
►
11/22 - 11/29(23)
-
▼
2008(2199)
- ► 12/28 - 01/04(27)
- ► 12/21 - 12/28(25)
- ► 12/14 - 12/21(41)
- ► 12/07 - 12/14(39)
- ► 11/30 - 12/07(34)
- ► 11/23 - 11/30(31)
- ► 11/16 - 11/23(33)
- ► 11/09 - 11/16(33)
- ► 11/02 - 11/09(33)
- ► 10/26 - 11/02(43)
- ► 10/19 - 10/26(35)
- ► 10/12 - 10/19(34)
- ► 10/05 - 10/12(38)
- ► 09/28 - 10/05(40)
- ► 09/21 - 09/28(46)
- ► 09/14 - 09/21(52)
- ► 09/07 - 09/14(49)
- ► 08/31 - 09/07(36)
- ► 08/24 - 08/31(43)
- ► 08/17 - 08/24(48)
- ► 08/10 - 08/17(50)
- ► 08/03 - 08/10(46)
- ► 07/27 - 08/03(46)
- ► 07/20 - 07/27(49)
- ► 07/13 - 07/20(48)
- ► 07/06 - 07/13(52)
- ► 06/29 - 07/06(42)
- ► 06/22 - 06/29(47)
- ► 06/15 - 06/22(41)
- ► 06/08 - 06/15(39)
- ► 06/01 - 06/08(36)
- ► 05/25 - 06/01(30)
- ► 05/18 - 05/25(39)
- ► 05/11 - 05/18(40)
- ► 05/04 - 05/11(41)
- ► 04/27 - 05/04(48)
- ► 04/20 - 04/27(44)
- ► 04/13 - 04/20(48)
- ► 04/06 - 04/13(41)
- ► 03/30 - 04/06(54)
- ► 03/23 - 03/30(41)
- ► 03/16 - 03/23(47)
- ► 03/09 - 03/16(32)
-
▼
03/02 - 03/09(44)
- Bookkeeping: 'Rising Tide' Performance Week 31
- Here We Go: PIMCO's Bill Gross Says Fed Should Buy...
- Bookkeeping: Starting 2 Mining Positions Emphasizi...
- Might See that 1270 Today, After All
- Bookkeeping: Coal Finally Correcting - Continuinin...
- Bookkeeping: Restarting Position in Mexican Homebu...
- Plan for the Rest of the Day
- Ciena (CIEN) Continues to Execute
- Bookkeeping: Picking Through Some Rubble
- Morning Thoughts
- Tomorrow Could Be "One" of Those Days
- So Much for that Mortgage REIT Bull Market!
- Joy Global (JOYG) with a Solid Report
- House ATM Creates Overleveraged Americans - The Ti...
- Revisiting Crocs (CROX)
- Waiting for the Leaders to Fall Before I Buy in an...
- 2 New ETFs for "India Bugs"
- Flour (FLR) and McDermott (MDR) Get Upgrades
- Bookkeeping: Cutting Mercadolibre (MELI) in Half o...
- UK and European Central Banks Hold Rates Steady; R...
- NYTimes: Thirsty for Energy in India
- Bookkeeping: Reducing Exposure to DR Horton (DHI) ...
- Ambak (ABK) is Halted Pending "Shocking Announceme...
- Some News Stories of the Day
- IndexUniverse.com: DBA is "Full-Up"
- "Kool Aid" is Getting Popular
- Invisible Hand Strikes Back
- Thoughts on Fertilizer
- The World According to Americans
- WSJ: Building Slowdown Goes Commercial
- The Housing Bear Who Finally Got it Right
- Bookkeeping: Cutting Blackrock (BLK) Exposure
- Bookkeeping: Cutting Some Commodity Exposure
- We Could be Breaking Here...
- Long Suffering Trina Solar (TSL) Finally Gets Some...
- A Lot of "News" Today that We've Been Discussing f...
- Mr. Hall, I Salute You
- Who Knew? Salt?
- Here Comes Our Test
- Hit Low End of Our Recent Range
- Thornburg Mortgage (TMA) in Freefall
- Remote Area's Medical Lifeline
- Bookkeeping: Weekly Changes to Fund Positions Week...
- 45 Stocks Returning 7%+ This Week
- ► 02/24 - 03/02(54)
- ► 02/17 - 02/24(40)
- ► 02/10 - 02/17(57)
- ► 02/03 - 02/10(57)
- ► 01/27 - 02/03(49)
- ► 01/20 - 01/27(48)
- ► 01/13 - 01/20(46)
- ► 01/06 - 01/13(43)
-
►
2007(913)
- ► 12/30 - 01/06(33)
- ► 12/23 - 12/30(29)
- ► 12/16 - 12/23(39)
- ► 12/09 - 12/16(36)
- ► 12/02 - 12/09(33)
- ► 11/25 - 12/02(44)
- ► 11/18 - 11/25(25)
- ► 11/11 - 11/18(44)
- ► 11/04 - 11/11(54)
- ► 10/28 - 11/04(51)
- ► 10/21 - 10/28(57)
- ► 10/14 - 10/21(55)
- ► 10/07 - 10/14(57)
- ► 09/30 - 10/07(55)
- ► 09/23 - 09/30(41)
- ► 09/16 - 09/23(41)
- ► 09/09 - 09/16(37)
- ► 09/02 - 09/09(31)
- ► 08/26 - 09/02(44)
- ► 08/19 - 08/26(43)
- ► 08/12 - 08/19(37)
- ► 08/05 - 08/12(27)








3 comments:
Mark,
Good call on Vale and CLF. My dad bought both of those before he passed away, and we still own them today.
What do you think of US Steel or Nucor? Do the fact that iron ore costs are rising so fast scare you in that their margins will be squeezed, or can they pass the costs along?
Rob
Yes that has been my concern on steel but the stocks continue to perform. I just dont know how much more they can pass on; I know it is becoming debilitating in the auto industry.
I owned CLF a few years ago - I wish I held it :)
Post a Comment