Tuesday, December 11, 2007

Lower Highs

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This chart exhibits the problem the market has right now. You do not want to see lower highs, but this is the pattern developing unless we get a quick rally... 2 lower highs since the peak high in early October

You can see the peak in early October (Oct 9 or so) - 1570s
Then on the Halloween Fed cut (Oct 31) you see a lower high - 1550s
Now (if and it is a big if) this "high" is even lower, than you have a bad trend - 1520s

Technicians will draw a line from the 3 peaks mentioned above and that is now the 'resistance', and a pattern of new lower highs could be developing. Still too early to tell but we'd want to see a move back to S&P 1530+ or so, to see this pattern broken


5 comments:

ben said...

yep, disconcerting to say the least. it's hard to imagine what the catalyst would be for a quick rally here. the plunge protection team better think of something fast!

TraderMark said...

ben, is that you? why didn't you cut more aggressively today. Remember, you are Part of that team! all for 1, and 1 for all!

I expect you to burn the midnight oil tonight fudging those CPI and PPI numbers to make inflation disappear. Thanks for reading Mr Governor.

ben said...

i wanted to cut more aggressively but i was tired of everybody making fun of my helicopter!

maybe if i started chewing cigars like volcker the market would respect me more.

James said...

and what's up with the jump on the next morning? 2.5% down and 2% up on the say day... that's a crazy market! Why don't you take a six months break and leave the markets alone!

TraderMark said...

ben, nice moves this morning to 'bail' out the markets. Of course these moves were worked on for weeks (or >month?) yet could not be announced yesterday. Have to trap shorts - thats the American way. Shorts are evil and stuff ;)
Ridiculous timing. Talk about lost credibility as an independent entity not meddling in equity markets.

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