While I had some massive booked gains in this name since my strategy is to buy (and sell) in layers and I had sold a lot of my very large position in the upper $40s and lower $50s; my unrealized losses against my booked gains actually had me at a net loss on this name going into today. Which is quite amazing since Blue Coat Systems 30 days ago was the largest winner in the fund. With that said, I am glad to see this company continue to execute and hopefully this will put the fears aside. I am sure at some point naysayers will say 'the credit contagion will somehow hit Blue Coat, but much like Riverbed these 2 companies continue to execute - in Riverbed's situations it was simply a case of a stock too highly valued and full of momentum lemmings; nothing to do with bad earnings or guidance. So here is a case of being 100% correct on the company, but the stock market missing the entire point - and you lose money in the process. Those are, frankly, the most frustrating times... there are many times you will be wrong on a stock, and you take your ball and go home on that name, but when you are right but still "lose" it is tougher to rationalize.
- Internet monitoring equipment maker Blue Coat Systems Inc (BCSI) posted a quarterly profit that topped the Wall Street view, helped by a surge in revenue, and forecast third-quarter results above analysts' expectations, sending its shares up 18 percent in pre-market trade.
- The Sunnyvale, California-based company posted second-quarter earnings of $7 million, or 17 cents a share, compared with a loss of $3.3 million, 12 cents a share, a year ago. Excluding items, the company earned 30 cents a share for the latest quarter.
- Net revenue for the quarter rose 85 percent to $73.4 million.
- Analysts had expected the company to earn 24 cents a share for the quarter, excluding items, on revenue of $69 million, according to Reuters Estimates.
- The company said it expects third-quarter earnings of 31 cents to 35 cents a share, excluding items, on revenue of between $78 million to $81 million. Analysts were expecting earnings of 26 cents a share, excluding items, on revenue of $74.2 million.
Long both names in fund; just sold Blue Coat Systems in personal account








2 comments:
Hi Mark
I'm personally not a big fan of tech and I am of the opinion that it represents the last leg of a bull market. I could be dead wrong but tech is not something that companies like to spend money on and they do so only because of a dire technology change. I suspect that once all this tech buying dies down, tech will get hit really hard again with the likes of 50% pullbacks.
Hey Mark,
I'm sure you are busy but if you get a chance to reply to my previous post I would appreciate it.
Thanks
I do see Vista twice, so I fixed thank - thanks. As for tech, I think people view tech like energy - a large monolith. When there are many flavors within said sector. In energy, there are drillers, oil services, exploration and production, solar, refiners, coal, natural gas, etc. Some actually benefit from lower crude at times i.e. refiners. So to throw it all in a bucket and say energy stinks or is great is misleading. The same with tech. For example video games are a huge part of entertainment and will be the last thing to go. We are also going to a gadget society and apple has everyone's favorite gadgets. Last, some of these like Hewlett Packard, Apple and even RIMM will benefit from adoption from emerging markets. So again tech is a very large field, and 80% of tech I never look at. I have a very narrow scope - very specific networking stocks, and some high growth consumer names. Even with Google I have some fears of advertising slowdowns which I wrote about back in September, due to financial firms issues - but so far they have proven me wrong. So I don't view it as a monolith, we have software, hardware, consumer based, networking, GPS, internet, e-commerce, mobile phone etc - many different areas that make up "tech".
Post a Comment