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Thursday, October 4, 2007

Failed Breakouts

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A number of stocks are concerning me, so I pulled back a bit this morning with the market still looking overextended to me

The following companies just broke down below their 50 day moving averages - it is still intraday rather than a close below the 50 day but its still a sign of weakness so I am culling these to some degree to reduce exposure.

To be clear I am bullish on these names in the long run, but their stocks are signaling weakness (again) by breaking a clear support - after running up nicely in the past week or two. A bit frustrating to see this see sawing so much instead of establishing a firm trend, but I want to protect capital - I can always buy back on a rebound for similar prices. So I am generally culling about 20-30% of each position. I just want the reader to be aware of "why" when I was "bullish" on these names in earlier posts. Again, all stocks I like for the long run (otherwise they would not be in the portfolio), but when the stocks break down technically they can fall quite a bit farther, so I will look to rebuy after they either wash out or regain above the 50 day moving average, and concentrate on stocks in more healthier technical positions.
  1. Titanium Metals (TIE)
  2. NII Holdings (NIHD)
  3. Pride International (PDE)
Pride International has been especially frustrating as it trades with no rhyme or reason, constantly breaking ABOVE and BELOW the 50 day moving average literally on a weekly basis. No trend at all.

This also allows me to raise cash as I have a low cash position relative to where it has been the past month.

Long all names in fund; no personal position

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