This article is from late May, but it's astounding. 1 in 52 adults in California is a realtor (agent or broker). And as of the first half of this year, 2007, the numbers are still increasing... talk about a lagging indicator.
I looked up the stats on population in Wikipedia. California has 36.5M people. So assuming 1 in 52 adults is in this industry, backing that back into the total population that means of the 36.5M people in California 24.75M are adults or 68%. Why did I do that? Just curious how it compares nationally.
There are 1.3 million members of the National Association of Realtors (pure agents). Of those about 390K are in CA. Of 24.75M people in CA, 390K are realtors or 1.57% of the adult population.
The rest of the country has a population of 270M, assuming 68% are adults that is 184M adults.
So take out the 390K CA realtors out of the 1.3M total and that leaves you with 910K realtors for the other 49 states or 184M adults. Or 0.5% of the adult population.
So takeaway #1, CA has triple the number of people, as a % of population, who can be classified as a realtor (how many are active vs inactive could be a question), versus the rest of the nation.
Takeaway #2, 1 in every 200 Americans adults is a realtor (or at least has a license). That doesn't include the brokers. So you don't think the employment picture will be affected nationwide by this real estate issue?
Now this is back of envelope analysis, working backward and I don't have independent confirmation but mostly I wanted to see how the 1 in 52 number compares in CA versus the rest of the nation. Keep in mind, as an economy, if CA was a stand alone economy it would be the 7th largest in the world. So a slowdown there effects us all. They have a major gravitational pull.
Saturday, September 8, 2007
Roughly 1 in 50 Californians is a Realtor
Posted by
TraderMark
at
1:39 PM
TweetThis
TweetThis
Posted by
TraderMark
at
1:39 PM
Comments (2)
| Edit This Post |
Create A New Post
Labels: housing bust
Subscribe to:
Post Comments (Atom)
Most Visited Sites
Sites I Wish I Had More Time To Read
- Newsflashr
- FinViz.com
- Zero Hedge
- Wall St Cheet Sheat
- Naked Capitalism
- Baseline Scenario
- Abnormal Returns
- TickerSpy
- Financial Armageddon
- Infectious Greed
- FT.com Alphaville.com
- 24/7 Wall Street
- The Daily Bail
- Matt Taibbi Blog
- Calculated Risk
- NYMag
- Real Clear Markets
- All About Trends
- Carpe Diem
- What's Trading
- Finz.tv
- Zentrader
- The Financial Ninja
- Daily Options Report
- Markman
- Notable Calls
- UpsideTrader
- The Smart Money Tracker
- Stock Trading to Go
- Nouriel Roubini's Blog
- Dealbreaker
- Investment Postcards
- Toro's Running of the Bulls
- Barron's Tech Trader Daily
- Market Oracle
- StraightStocks
- FINAlternatives (Hedge Funds)
- Money and Markets
- The Market Speculator
- Contrarian Profits
- Wall Street Blips
- Wall$treet Fighter
- StreetInsider Analysts News
- Blogging Stocks (AOL)
- The Daily Reckoning
- 1440 Wall Street
- HedgeFolios
- ETF Trends
- Hedge Fund Consultant Blog
- Daily Options Report
- Get Rich Slick
- Wall $treet Folly
- Guru Focus
- Fundmastery
- The Fly on the Wall
- Bill Gross PIMCO Archives
- MrSwing.com
Industry Focus Sites
- Forex Trading
- US Debt Clock
- Bloomberg Bond Yields
- List of ADRs by Country
- Mr. Copper (Kitco)
- Gas Price by State
- Mortgage Trends
- Debt Maturations
- Form 4 Oracle - Insider Filings
- Chinese Stocks
- Greentech Media
- gnuTrade
- MineWeb
- SPDR ETFs Chart
- Coal Future Pricing - Europe
- Coal Pricing - US
- Baltic Exchange Dry Index
- Solar Feeds
- The Housing Bubble
- HousingPANIC
- BusinessofVideo.com (CDNs)
Some Mutual Funds That Perk My Interest
- CGM Mutual (Kenneth Heebner)
- CGM Focus (Kenneth Heebner)
- Quaker Strategic Growth
- Loomis Sayles Mid Cap Growth
- Bridgeway Aggressive Investors
- Eaton Vance Multi Cap Growth
- Saratoga Large Cap Growth
- AFBA Five Star Large Cap
- American Century Vista
- American Century Heritage
- TCW Growth Equities
- Dynamic Power American Growth (Noah Blackstein)
- Dover Long/Short Sector Fund
Weekly Most Read
- 1; Goldman Sachs Q3 Winning Percentage: 98.4%
- 2: Warren Buffet's Berkshire Hathaway to Acquire Burlington Northern; Split Shares
- 3: STEC Crashes 30% on EMC Inventory Warning
- 4: Las Vegas Sands Earnings "Ok" but CEO Talk Supports Stock
- 5: Barron's - a Scare that can Last Beyond Halloween
- 6: Nearly 600,000 Americans Walked Away from their Mortgage in 2008
- 7: Paul Tudor Jones Q3 Investor Letter - Another Gold Bug
- 8: Nouriel Roubini CNBC: "Mother of all Carry Trades"
- 9: Potential Fly in Bull's Ointment - Early Stage Head and Shoulders Formation
Archives By Date
-
►
2009(1851)
-
►
11/08 - 11/15(17)
- Fluor (FLR) Guides Down for the Year, Investors Di...
- Bookkeeping: Short E-House Holdings (EJ)
- Bookkeeping: Selling All of Friday's Index Long Ex...
- Walmart (WMT) Executive: "There are Families Not E...
- Looking at the Market Indexes; "Double Top Breakou...
- Albert Edwards of Societe Generale Remains Firmly ...
- Priceline.com (PCLN) Hits an Earnings Home Run
- Fund Performance Period 11
- Bookkeeping: Selling Another 1/4th of Original SPY...
- Las Vegas Sands (LVS) Sets Hong Kong Macau IPO Ran...
- Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (RDY) Impressive on Both ...
- Bookkeeping: Adding to Discover Financial (DFS)
- Bookkeeping: Covering Costco (COST) Short
- Bookkeeping: Selling Half SPY Calls Purchased Frid...
- Bookkeeping: Weekly Changes to Fund Positions Year...
- Updated Position Sheet
- Barry Ritholtz Shreds Warren Buffet
-
►
11/01 - 11/08(38)
- In Case You Missed It - the Week's Most Popular Po...
- Blackstone Group (BX) Continues its Recovery; Beat...
- Wells Fargo (WFC) Kicks the Can by Transofrming Op...
- Potential Fly in Bull Ointment: Early Stage Head a...
- Bookkeeping: Making Some Long Purchases
- Bookkeeping: Adding Some Index Longs on Morning Pu...
- Official Unemployment Rate Hits 10.2%; Reality is ...
- #1 Article on UK Telegraph Website: No Respect, No...
- Blue Coat Systems (BCSI) - More Global Labor Arbit...
- Yet Another "V" Shaped Bounce- Old Patterns Seem U...
- Fannie Mae's New Deed for Lease Program - Rent you...
- Bookkeeping: Closing Myriad Genetics (MYGN) as Ear...
- Groundhog Day - is it Wednesday or Thursday?
- Fuel Systems Solutions (FSYS) Rockets Over 20% on ...
- General Updates: Mutual Fund, Website, Misc.
- Whitney Tilson T2 Partners October 2009 Investor L...
- Bookkeeping: Selling a Third of Silver (SLV) Posit...
- Still Many Broken Charts Despite the Index Rallies...
- Market Jumps Back over 50 Day Moving Average as In...
- Goldman Sachs (GS) Q3 Winning Percentage: 98.4%
- STEC (STEC) Crashes 30% on EMC (EMC) Inventory War...
- Nouriel Roubini on CNBC: "Mother of all Carry Trad...
- Showdown at the Federal Reserve Corral
- Nearly 600,000 Americans Walked Away from their Mo...
- Apple's (AAPL) iPhone Only Sells 5000 Units in 1st...
- Bookkeeping: Buying Long Term Downside Protection ...
- Ugly Premarket Action
- International Monetary Fund to Sell One Eighth of ...
- Warren Buffet's Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A) to Acqu...
- Lack of Green Energy Manufacturing Capability in U...
- Good News Sold, S&P Turned Back at 50 Day Moving A...
- NYT: Are Chinese Video Game Makers a Threat to Wes...
- The Market with no Memory from Day to Day
- ► 10/25 - 11/01(48)
- ► 10/18 - 10/25(37)
- ► 10/11 - 10/18(40)
- ► 10/04 - 10/11(35)
- ► 09/27 - 10/04(41)
- ► 09/20 - 09/27(39)
- ► 09/13 - 09/20(35)
- ► 09/06 - 09/13(32)
- ► 08/30 - 09/06(32)
- ► 08/23 - 08/30(34)
- ► 08/16 - 08/23(36)
- ► 08/09 - 08/16(39)
- ► 08/02 - 08/09(40)
- ► 07/26 - 08/02(45)
- ► 07/19 - 07/26(45)
- ► 07/12 - 07/19(45)
- ► 07/05 - 07/12(40)
- ► 06/28 - 07/05(31)
- ► 06/21 - 06/28(37)
- ► 06/14 - 06/21(44)
- ► 06/07 - 06/14(42)
- ► 05/31 - 06/07(44)
- ► 05/24 - 05/31(39)
- ► 05/17 - 05/24(33)
- ► 05/10 - 05/17(39)
- ► 05/03 - 05/10(47)
- ► 04/26 - 05/03(45)
- ► 04/19 - 04/26(43)
- ► 04/12 - 04/19(40)
- ► 04/05 - 04/12(40)
- ► 03/29 - 04/05(40)
- ► 03/22 - 03/29(45)
- ► 03/15 - 03/22(45)
- ► 03/08 - 03/15(46)
- ► 03/01 - 03/08(49)
- ► 02/22 - 03/01(49)
- ► 02/15 - 02/22(45)
- ► 02/08 - 02/15(49)
- ► 02/01 - 02/08(49)
- ► 01/25 - 02/01(49)
- ► 01/18 - 01/25(38)
- ► 01/11 - 01/18(53)
- ► 01/04 - 01/11(52)
-
►
11/08 - 11/15(17)
-
►
2008(2199)
- ► 12/28 - 01/04(27)
- ► 12/21 - 12/28(25)
- ► 12/14 - 12/21(41)
- ► 12/07 - 12/14(39)
- ► 11/30 - 12/07(34)
- ► 11/23 - 11/30(31)
- ► 11/16 - 11/23(33)
- ► 11/09 - 11/16(33)
- ► 11/02 - 11/09(33)
- ► 10/26 - 11/02(43)
- ► 10/19 - 10/26(35)
- ► 10/12 - 10/19(34)
- ► 10/05 - 10/12(38)
- ► 09/28 - 10/05(40)
- ► 09/21 - 09/28(46)
- ► 09/14 - 09/21(52)
- ► 09/07 - 09/14(49)
- ► 08/31 - 09/07(36)
- ► 08/24 - 08/31(43)
- ► 08/17 - 08/24(48)
- ► 08/10 - 08/17(50)
- ► 08/03 - 08/10(46)
- ► 07/27 - 08/03(46)
- ► 07/20 - 07/27(49)
- ► 07/13 - 07/20(48)
- ► 07/06 - 07/13(52)
- ► 06/29 - 07/06(42)
- ► 06/22 - 06/29(47)
- ► 06/15 - 06/22(41)
- ► 06/08 - 06/15(39)
- ► 06/01 - 06/08(36)
- ► 05/25 - 06/01(30)
- ► 05/18 - 05/25(39)
- ► 05/11 - 05/18(40)
- ► 05/04 - 05/11(41)
- ► 04/27 - 05/04(48)
- ► 04/20 - 04/27(44)
- ► 04/13 - 04/20(48)
- ► 04/06 - 04/13(41)
- ► 03/30 - 04/06(54)
- ► 03/23 - 03/30(41)
- ► 03/16 - 03/23(47)
- ► 03/09 - 03/16(32)
- ► 03/02 - 03/09(44)
- ► 02/24 - 03/02(54)
- ► 02/17 - 02/24(40)
- ► 02/10 - 02/17(57)
- ► 02/03 - 02/10(57)
- ► 01/27 - 02/03(49)
- ► 01/20 - 01/27(48)
- ► 01/13 - 01/20(46)
- ► 01/06 - 01/13(43)
-
▼
2007(913)
- ► 12/30 - 01/06(33)
- ► 12/23 - 12/30(29)
- ► 12/16 - 12/23(39)
- ► 12/09 - 12/16(36)
- ► 12/02 - 12/09(33)
- ► 11/25 - 12/02(44)
- ► 11/18 - 11/25(25)
- ► 11/11 - 11/18(44)
- ► 11/04 - 11/11(54)
- ► 10/28 - 11/04(51)
- ► 10/21 - 10/28(57)
- ► 10/14 - 10/21(55)
- ► 10/07 - 10/14(57)
- ► 09/30 - 10/07(55)
- ► 09/23 - 09/30(41)
- ► 09/16 - 09/23(41)
- ► 09/09 - 09/16(37)
-
▼
09/02 - 09/09(31)
- Roughly 1 in 50 Californians is a Realtor
- More Retail Tells?: Harley Davidson (HOG) and Off...
- Bookkeeping: Weekly Changes in Fund Positions
- Bookkeeping: Rising Tide Growth Fund Performance
- Sector Strength: Deep Sea Oil Drillers
- This MOO for You? An ETF to Play the Global Agric...
- Juniper Networks (JNPR) the Networking Good Times ...
- Apple (AAPL) in similar position to Sandisk (SNDK)...
- Sandisk (SNDK) is first in the "buying list" to p...
- The Real Problem with Housing
- One Ugly Jobs Report
- Tomorrow's employment report
- The Blog's 8 Most Popular Posts
- Housing Busts - 50% off sales
- Update on Eric Bolling
- Riverbed Technology (RVBD) very weak
- Keep in mind the shopping list as the market pulls...
- Notable Calls blog analyst notes on Apple (AAPL) &...
- Starbucks (SBUX) warns on higher commodity costs -...
- Apple (AAPL) comments
- Tyson Foods (TSN) warns
- AP: Pending Home Sales Sink in July
- 12 Stocks to buy on the next pullback
- Tepid response in CME Group (CME) continues to per...
- Job slowdown begins
- Bookkeeping: Website changes
- Could Blue Coat Systems (BCSI) give it all back? O...
- Continuing to lighten up the Trina Solar (TSL) pos...
- And don't forget Broadcom (BRCM)
- Apple (AAPL) of my eye - or is it Sandisk (SNDK)
- I'm buying one group today: deep sea oil drillers
- ► 08/26 - 09/02(44)
- ► 08/19 - 08/26(43)
- ► 08/12 - 08/19(37)
- ► 08/05 - 08/12(27)









2 comments:
This doesn't surprise me at all. With the ridiculous expense of owning a home in any urban area of California, it only makes sense to become a realtor, just to save the expense of hiring someone else. I was able to acquire my realtor license for less than $1000, so selling a house for $500,000 would more than pay that back and save me significant closing costs. Simple logic, not that astounding of a statistic.
Good point. With a 6% commission on a 500K home, thats 30K, and some large part of that you could save by becoming your own realtor. Did not think of that :)
Post a Comment